Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa79f875fcf3a2d29fbfca874f8382f23e1137fec3015a498d7e88bcd7a92cbf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi State Bulldogsof Mississippi State Bulldogs, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ole Miss Rebels | 4c | 5,763$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 79c | 3,868$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 2,785$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.01 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 1c | 2,053$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 62c | 2,013$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.06 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…4a65backed Ole Miss Rebels | 9c | 1,654$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 63c | 1,497$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.3 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 26c | 1,496$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 1,018$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Ole Miss Rebels | 2c | 991.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels | 5c | 863.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 60c | 858.19$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 72c | 623.24$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 600.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 45c | 544.44$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 7c | 536$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 69c | 478.81$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 58c | 470.69$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 62c | 450.47$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 64c | 355.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 350$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 307.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 60c | 261.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 62c | 237.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 64c | 226.6$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 9c | 223.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ole Miss Rebels | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 206$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 78c | 175.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 80c | 102.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 37c | 90.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 53c | 90.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 67c | 89.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 34c | 83.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 38c | 74.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…615cbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 38c | 51.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Ole Miss Rebels | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 29c | 45.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 34c | 44.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 42.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ole Miss Rebels | 38c | 35.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Ole Miss Rebels | 62c | 31.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ole Miss Rebels | 40c | 29.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Ole Miss Rebels | 63c | 20.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Ole Miss Rebels | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebelsthis page
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 144.5Over won
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Ole Miss Rebels (-4.5)Mississippi State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.