TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Florida International Golden Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida International Golden Panthersof Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, Florida International Golden Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers75c1,552$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.344,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs28c1,518$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.321,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida International Golden Panthers68c1,514$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.121,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs20c994.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs26c951$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.31,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Florida International Golden Panthers68c684$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1625246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs39c481.82$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.771,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37c372.79$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1537441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Florida International Golden Panthers63c365.86$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8630853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Florida International Golden Panthers47c363.18$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1815733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs54c333.41$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs39c303.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Florida International Golden Panthers61c218.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida International Golden Panthers61c218.34$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8050745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs54c193.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2814151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers59c180.67$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs40c178.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5124340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida International Golden Panthers63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7393447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs40c142.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.481,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida International Golden Panthers62c139.63$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.953,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc913…488bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs44c105.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs47c104.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.672,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Florida International Golden Panthers59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4191848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Florida International Golden Panthers37c84.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5420234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers62c80.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.94,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.72,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed Florida International Golden Panthers77c53.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Florida International Golden Panthers61c51.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.12,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Florida International Golden Panthers61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs41c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0435650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs40c41.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7537947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Florida International Golden Panthers49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.221,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Florida International Golden Panthers57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0611051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Florida International Golden Panthers62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.351,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs64c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida International Golden Panthers37c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida International Golden Panthers54c34.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Florida International Golden Panthers62c32.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.525946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs38c32.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Florida International Golden Panthers62c29.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3740755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida International Golden Panthers69c25.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.731,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Florida International Golden Panthers62c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.34930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.