TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07a6…5638

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT9168.1%62 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Abbotsford Canucks vs. Ontario Reignbacked Ontario Reign · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3.84
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$5.84
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$6.82
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.58
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.12
SHL: Brynaes vs. HV 71backed Brynaes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.78
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Ontario Reignbacked Ontario Reign · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Milwaukee Admiralsbacked Milwaukee Admirals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
KHL: HC Sochi vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.7
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.06
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$11.9
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Roeglebacked Skellefteaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
SHL: Faerjestad vs. HV 71backed Faerjestad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.81
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+40.7%+$12.15
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Milwaukee Admiralsbacked San Jose Barracuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.9%+$8.7
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Luleaabacked Luleaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.91
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+30.1%+$4.48
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.5%+$22.33
Rice Owls vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+36.9%+$9.92
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Marist Red Foxesbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.8%+$7.42
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.02
Princeton Tigers vs. Brown Bearsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+36.1%+$14.06
Monmouth Hawks vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.4%+$4.57
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33.8%+$6.76
Davidson Wildcats vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$4.75
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+30.5%+$12.49
William & Mary Tribe vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+32.7%+$8.19
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pacific Tigersbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Austin Peay Governors vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.55
Temple Owls vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bearsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.8%+$13.41
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Murray State Racersbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37.3%+$7.98
Belmont Bruins vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
Mercer Bears vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$52.96
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.2%+$8.09
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.5%+$6.07
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.36
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$26
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.17
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.61
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.88
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.4%+$8.6
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38%+$9.06
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.11
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+43.8%+$14.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.33
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Rotterdam Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.7%+$8.02
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.82
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigurbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Camila Osoriobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Ostrava Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.8%+$10.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick77cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.4%+$8.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$96.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.