Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Fairfield Stags
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa241beb806ae2a4ebfb4453c96479da123bb7c3fd32d0384b7f31db9d439bc22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Fairfield Stags
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags | 34c | 10,609$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 37c | 2,287$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.93 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 1,652$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.53 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 1,487$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.52 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 54c | 1,122$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.09 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Fairfield Stags | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.99 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 59c | 1,057$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 38c | 921.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fairfield Stags | 62c | 894.08$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.14 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairfield Stags | 27c | 715.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.87 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fairfield Stags | 23c | 709.19$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 65c | 571.07$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 36c | 553.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 501.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Fairfield Stags | 3c | 458.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Fairfield Stags | 62c | 424.47$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.17 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 62c | 381.4$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked Fairfield Stags | 33c | 356$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 305.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 36c | 299.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Fairfield Stags | 64c | 243.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fairfield Stags | 62c | 242.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Fairfield Stags | 64c | 204.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Fairfield Stags | 62c | 159.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Fairfield Stags | 64c | 151.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 148.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 40c | 125.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Fairfield Stags | 47c | 114.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fairfield Stags | 16c | 113.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Fairfield Stags | 40c | 110.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fairfield Stags | 20c | 99.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Fairfield Stags | 61c | 79.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Fairfield Stags | 24c | 78.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 63.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Fairfield Stags | 65c | 51.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 37c | 49.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Fairfield Stags | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Fairfield Stags | 47c | 43.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Fairfield Stags | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 38c | 38.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Fairfield Stags | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Fairfield Stags | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Fairfield Stags | 62c | 23.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Fairfield Stags | 45c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 59c | 21.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Fairfield Stags | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed Fairfield Stags | 64c | 16.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 66c | 15.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Fairfield Stagsthis page
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.