TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf602…c172

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT6159%36 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.62
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.62
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-5.5)backed Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.36
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.9
Delaware State Hornets vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$16.82
Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-4.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.58
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.58
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.81
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.53
BYU Cougars vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.07
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$19.91
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.71
BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$31.19
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$37.12
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$21.79
Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.02
New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.69
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.08
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.25
Spread: Raptors (-11.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.46
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.75
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.85
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.95
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+289.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.