TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,645,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,892,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,645,680 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,053 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94f1…4c7abacked Yes69c6,259,508$4,337,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922,015.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No31c2,002,965$630,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630,104.6919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No30c840,000$256,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256,152.783946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No30c550,000$167,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,499.995651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No30c463,645$140,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,789.6127750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c344,680$105,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,777.836,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae87…c735backed Yes60c327,424$196,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,529.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No30c285,714$85,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,714.195556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No31c276,918$85,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,053.7524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No32c265,573$85,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,445.959141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08e6…5448backed No32c157,987$50,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,291.151040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No33c156,000$50,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,888.57542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No31c140,462$43,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,209.682,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes68c129,668$88,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,493.8235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No32c128,476$41,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,078.442,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c110,319$35,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,930.051,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No33c100,000$33,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,00018950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes69c100,000$69,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,5001457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No35c89,149$31,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,634.5820545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No32c89,060$28,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,204.5810455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed No33c87,296$28,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,918.191533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes67c70,000$46,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,1008146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No31c68,488$21,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,089.0221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No31c56,850$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,499.5485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No31c55,000$17,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,0501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No32c53,813$17,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,2203050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes79c53,377$42,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,294.0216848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes62c44,530$27,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,913.177753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No31c36,783$11,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,402.7310057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No30c35,908$10,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,769.215655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No30c34,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c33,644$11,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,447.8131944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes65c30,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.976857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No32c29,307$9,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,378.179856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No31c26,470$8,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,205.835658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No31c26,460$8,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,202.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No36c22,999$8,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,262.6215748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No32c21,900$6,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,938.9817745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No33c21,411$7,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,081.057653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb29…e532backed Yes66c20,947$13,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,155.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No32c20,713$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,628.2212949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked No34c20,147$6,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,847.011546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked No38c19,280$7,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,233.782650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c19,112$7,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05510236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes69c17,500$12,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9920646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No32c16,940$5,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,445.212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa898…8d2ebacked Yes67c14,925$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Yes69c14,494$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,494.381457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No32c14,300$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,585.661,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No33c12,408$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.9113444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes63c12,225$7,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.2528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No34c12,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.982544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd052…058dbacked No30c11,808$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3934…8352backed No31c11,544$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7773…c91ebacked Yes62c10,889$6,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No34c10,135$3,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4463256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2008747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked No34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No31c9,878$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.186550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes68c9,779$6,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.7613944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes67c9,657$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.726746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c9,641$6,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.041,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No34c9,463$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.9825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No33c9,363$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.797544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…bbb0backed No31c9,347$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c9,245$6,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.521,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No12c8,984$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.495232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed No34c8,824$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked No30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8004862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No32c7,954$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5274052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes70c7,543$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.9723350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No33c7,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.972360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes70c7,319$5,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.710246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4a…a3a3backed Yes66c7,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3801100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes67c6,508$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.564447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No35c6,233$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.314254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No31c6,191$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.061428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes68c6,120$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.910636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No38c6,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No30c5,430$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.4156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4501978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No30c4,949$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.824468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No33c4,700$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5442962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes66c4,600$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5749055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes63c4,338$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.12944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No34c4,099$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.815939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c4,054$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.631,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4803658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No33c3,901$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.8932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes67c3,731$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.344156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes70c3,561$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.374240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No27c3,535$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.871,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4f…e617backed No34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No34c3,473$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.8210335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.