TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3934…8352

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.44
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.68
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.7
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$65.38
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$7,632.16
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$56.73
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$278.4
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$568.58
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.8%+$5,400.6
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.9%+$760.62
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$669.74
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$288.55
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,828Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.5%+$7,272.33
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.79
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,697Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$4,218.76
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$353.58
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$3,653.04
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.66
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$64.96
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$2,800.48
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+124.6%+$517.56
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$625
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.05
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$291.59
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$301.67
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$261.95
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150.04
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,227.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$158.2
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.29
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$34.58
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$73
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$650
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+94.2%+$75.73
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$110
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$295
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+34.2%+$68.83
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$95
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$293.26
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$25.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.9%+$1,657.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$187.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,578.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$500.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$818.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,394Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$2,560.44
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$924
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$515.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$343.87
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$83.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$56.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.61
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.19
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.76
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$160.48
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.9%+$468.03
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.55
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$230.78
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$67.1
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$216.85
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$126.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$87.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.