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NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Kings, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,283,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,300,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,283,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Kings36c360,253$129,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,691.117266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz65c100,516$65,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,930.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz65c50,439$32,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,696.581,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz64c49,341$31,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,562.722,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Kings33c45,000$14,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,849.9821250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings32c42,007$13,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,545.9151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Kings31c40,054$12,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,483.031,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz66c38,000$25,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,92060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings34c37,310$12,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,697.471,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Jazz65c35,600$23,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,526.494742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kings37c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,10040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings32c26,948$8,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,581.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz67c26,623$17,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,897.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Kings0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings34c24,509$8,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,380.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz65c22,248$14,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,786.81,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings0c21,523$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.577211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz65c20,751$13,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,289.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings35c20,628$7,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,151.173,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Kings6c19,315$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.6727247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Jazz64c18,338$11,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,601.517454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz64c16,611$10,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,952.572,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3934…8352backed Jazz66c15,820$10,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400.63658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Jazz64c15,413$9,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,548.517356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Jazz67c15,000$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95014450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz65c15,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Jazz63c14,995$9,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,488.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+81.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Jazz64c14,975$9,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3916358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jazz64c14,861$9,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.7972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Jazz66c13,350$8,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,53913357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings1c13,116$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.161,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d93…d67abacked Jazz64c12,953$8,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,663.131376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Kings30c12,101$3,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.7628742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c44…752ebacked Kings0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Kings35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Jazz64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6001850%9 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Jazz66c9,999$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.664856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Kings34c9,998$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.3215247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Kings31c9,868$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.9429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings34c9,566$3,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,252.572,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings0c9,079$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Jazz69c8,696$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.6520849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Kings35c8,500$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97545850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz64c8,404$5,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.361,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings25c7,877$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…8eeabacked Jazz64c7,857$5,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.571145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz80c7,423$5,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.171,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Jazz66c7,365$4,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.0914344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Jazz65c7,310$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.5910158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6756…39f0backed Jazz66c7,242$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Jazz70c6,800$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0409758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Kings30c6,800$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9810035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Jazz70c6,678$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings13c6,175$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kings34c5,877$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.0235251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Kings37c5,157$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.1214738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Jazz64c5,034$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.1120551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Jazz65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7505349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Kings30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Jazz69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.9913249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Kings44c4,967$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.329250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz74c4,844$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings8c4,729$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.311,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings0c4,605$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Jazz64c4,480$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.85655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings1c4,346$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8167911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Jazz67c4,248$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.762360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Jazz64c4,194$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.756258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz74c4,094$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.981,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings35c4,005$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.6938649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz64c4,000$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4301,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Jazz64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4408555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Jazz74c3,724$2,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.6466646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz64c3,627$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Kings1c3,584$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5831430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Jazz65c3,366$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.6538046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz74c3,319$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.0483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Jazz66c3,170$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.822137.6%83 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Jazz64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08017162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Jazz63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11018553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Kings31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Kings34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Jazz64c2,950$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06217653.4%94 W · 82 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Jazz64c2,813$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.56848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings35c2,700$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.9989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jazz76c2,649$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.6648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings35c2,600$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.3350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kings4c2,538$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6328929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Jazz68c2,474$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.976165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz56c2,440$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Kings32c2,329$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.2938253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Jazz67c2,221$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.9622857.5%131 W · 97 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz73c2,213$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.163,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.861,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.