NBA · resolved market
Spread: Jazz (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a1c7a774f44335e7d09b674e517a527829965a5fd9e3d8c971bb04d4b68512c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Jazz, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Jazz | 47c | 41,501$19,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,881.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings | 53c | 29,999$15,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,899.22 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 51c | 9,428$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Kings | 49c | 9,372$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.59 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz | 47c | 5,104$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz | 50c | 4,001$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Jazz | 50c | 2,906$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Jazz | 52c | 1,940$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.38 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,723$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 50c | 1,511$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Jazz | 53c | 1,507$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.44 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,388$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 50c | 1,319$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Kings | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings | 52c | 1,120$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.87 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 51c | 909.13$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings | 52c | 900$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.54 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Jazz | 54c | 470.65$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.65 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Jazz | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Jazz | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 57c | 345.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 49c | 330.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Kings | 51c | 326.01$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kings | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Kings | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kings | 54c | 185.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…b901backed Kings | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 45c | 169.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kings | 50c | 162.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Kings | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Jazz | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Jazz | 53c | 145.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Kings | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Jazz | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Jazz | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Jazz | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Kings | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Jazz | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Kings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Jazz | 51c | 92.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Kings | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Kings | 52c | 83.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Jazz | 49c | 82.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Jazz | 53c | 75.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Kings | 52c | 69.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Kings | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Jazz | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Kings | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Kings | 49c | 50.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Kings | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jazz | 48c | 40.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Jazz | 49c | 40.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Jazz | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Kings | 52c | 38.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Jazz | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Jazz | 49c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…1eacbacked Jazz | 53c | 34.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…33e4backed Kings | 48c | 33.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…653fbacked Kings | 48c | 32.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…b2f2backed Jazz | 53c | 31.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Kings | 48c | 29.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Kings | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Jazz | 51c | 26.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Jazz | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Kings | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jazz (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Devin Carter: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kings vs. JazzJazz won
- Kings vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Kings vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-7.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.