NBA · resolved market
Spread: Jazz (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a5bf90605fa82c4d376398c816064f1f2aa8a551f1e216053662a1032a9767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Jazz, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz | 43c | 24,439$10,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,930.1 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 48c | 4,940$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings | 57c | 3,929$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.33 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 55c | 2,052$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz | 43c | 1,933$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.71 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 54c | 1,766$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 56c | 1,743$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.91 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 55c | 1,017$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Jazz | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Jazz | 43c | 674.27$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.33 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Kings | 54c | 470.35$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 57c | 244$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 54c | 234.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kings | 57c | 232.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Kings | 22c | 218.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 46c | 201.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Kings | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 46c | 190.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Kings | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Jazz | 43c | 166.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Kings | 56c | 157.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…2f5abacked Jazz | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Kings | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Kings | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Jazz | 78c | 97.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Kings | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Jazz | 43c | 76.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 43c | 63.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Kings | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Jazz | 43c | 52.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 28c | 51.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Kings | 56c | 44.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Kings | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7c…38e5backed Jazz | 43c | 40.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kings | 55c | 36.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Jazz | 46c | 32.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jazz | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Jazz | 44c | 29.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Jazz | 48c | 28.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Jazz | 46c | 27.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Kings | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Jazz | 45c | 24.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Jazz | 43c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Jazz | 47c | 22.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jazz (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Devin Carter: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kings vs. JazzJazz won
- Kings vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Kings vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-6.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.