NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f7c87e31a66a13091e5a59a619c747d7087058a3ff7bb1c27d334b0c661229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 12,546$5,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Under | 59c | 11,521$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.19 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 60c | 2,098$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.02 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 59c | 1,001$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.41 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 40c | 899.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 860.04$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 40c | 856.24$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.25 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 33c | 187.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 68c | 162.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 65c | 134.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 59c | 103.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 33c | 91.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 41c | 89.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 67c | 67.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Under | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…96c1backed Under | 59c | 31.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…9c2dbacked Over | 42c | 31.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…dce6backed Over | 42c | 29.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389f…6079backed Under | 59c | 28.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 59c | 27.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…4605backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…c920backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Devin Carter: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kings vs. JazzJazz won
- Kings vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Kings vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-7.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.