TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x935d…4605

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.79
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.8
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Ethan Quinn vs Rafael Jodarbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Janice Tjen vs Maya Jointbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Australian Open Women's: Daria Kasatkina vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Australian Open Men's: Luca Nardi vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+212.5%+$27.19
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Baezbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick58cpaid+75.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.