NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7b19b804546c18ba5496fef2be0b24fdb8c22f9d1c3456c834879d03074b9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,483,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,488,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,483,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Devils | 54c | 579,855$312,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266,868.09 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Flames | 48c | 331,983$159,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,120.36 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flames | 46c | 198,437$91,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,280.84 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 46c | 162,079$74,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,549.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Devils | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Devils | 51c | 67,849$34,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,380.48 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Devils | 52c | 63,557$33,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,507.31 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Flames | 48c | 47,918$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Flames | 46c | 34,580$15,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,906.79 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Flames | 47c | 34,063$16,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,009.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Devils | 55c | 30,979$16,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,040.55 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Devils | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Flames | 46c | 21,168$9,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.36 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 53c | 16,710$8,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.58 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flames | 42c | 15,603$6,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,511.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 46c | 13,845$6,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,366.65 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Flames | 46c | 12,222$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.12 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 48c | 10,535$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.57 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Flames | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Flames | 47c | 10,029$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Devils | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flames | 49c | 9,997$4,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.53 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Flames | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 52c | 8,101$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.15 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Devils | 55c | 7,982$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.68 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 46c | 7,622$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Devils | 54c | 6,600$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Flames | 49c | 5,912$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.51 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Flames | 46c | 5,789$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.3 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Devils | 53c | 5,634$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.93 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Devils | 52c | 5,624$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.44 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Devils | 53c | 5,375$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.25 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Flames | 47c | 5,217$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Devils | 52c | 5,111$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.28 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Flames | 49c | 5,061$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Flames | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Flames | 49c | 4,092$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Devils | 54c | 4,074$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.07 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Devils | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Flames | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flames | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 46c | 3,934$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.5 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Flames | 47c | 3,844$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.68 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Flames | 48c | 3,751$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Devils | 52c | 3,666$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.68 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils | 52c | 3,438$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.3 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 46c | 3,389$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils | 52c | 3,330$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.4 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 46c | 3,268$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flames | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flames | 47c | 3,100$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Devils | 52c | 3,038$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.7 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Flames | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Flames | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Flames | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Flames | 46c | 2,964$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.08 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Devils | 54c | 2,721$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.3 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Flames | 37c | 2,672$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.96 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Flames | 47c | 2,622$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.24 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 50c | 2,587$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.98 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…85d2backed Devils | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Flames | 50c | 2,406$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Devils | 53c | 2,256$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.96 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 46c | 2,130$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.71 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Flames | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Flames | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Devils | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.64 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Devils | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Devils | 52c | 1,913$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.58 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Devils | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Devils | 53c | 1,881$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.84 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 50c | 1,860$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.38 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 51c | 1,722$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.01 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Flames | 55c | 1,625$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 46c | 1,605$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.18 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Flames | 3c | 1,600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Flames | 46c | 1,580$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.13 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Flames | 46c | 1,541$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 49c | 1,540$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.58 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Flames | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Devils | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Flames | 2c | 1,397$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 45c | 1,336$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…94a9backed Flames | 46c | 1,321$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Flames | 46c | 1,292$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.16 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Flames | 48c | 1,160$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Devils | 51c | 1,157$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.09 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Flames | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 46c | 1,100$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.76 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Flames | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Flames | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Flames | 46c | 1,019$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.86 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Flamesthis page
- Devils vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.