TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6a3…2f0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
278
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST19560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 195 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$207,293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$102,189.4
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14,443Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.7%+$5,882.15
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,855Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100.7%+$2,875.43
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$890.5
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55,394Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+26.5%+$14,682.87
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,672Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$5,426.62
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56,241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+36%+$20,263.08
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,910.4
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31,815Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.4%+$10,619.82
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,659Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10,241
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,666Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$5,678.7
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$4,908.75
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29,064Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$43,595.39
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42,236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$15,614.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,137.75
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,764Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+119.7%+$5,699.86
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,687Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+82.5%+$6,345.3
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72,075Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$63,915.76
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$265
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12,089.5
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88,339Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+27.9%+$24,602.95
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12,605.28
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$114,845.81
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35,168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40%+$14,071.94
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57,541.5
Showing 25 of 195 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,423.91
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$6,500.34
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$677.1
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$24.5
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$3,248.5
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13,184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9,161.45
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$784
Penguins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,071.28
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$712.48
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,215
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,618Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+55.4%+$2,005.93
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$4,713.63
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,534
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,542Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$3,017.26
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$5,919.57
Islanders vs. Flamesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$9,418.54
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,042.56
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,329.31
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,966.86
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$9,354.6
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,692.9
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,347.56
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owlsbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,940Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$6,548.37
Spread: UAB Blazers (-6.5)backed UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$775.17
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12,266.47
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-4.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$313.51
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29,042Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+105.6%+$30,656.97
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,119.28
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-11.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,489Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+105.3%+$7,885.16
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$4,927.68
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$3,300.46
Spread: South Carolina State Bulldogs (-1.5)backed South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,060.82
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-2.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,809Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+97.2%+$5,647.06
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$628.18
USC Trojans vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$848.54
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,805Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,154.02
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10,393.21
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$4,424.31
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$406.5
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$62,099
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.5%+$14,387.46
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41,135.5
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$992.82
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16,843.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$88,899.12
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20,147
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25,767.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38,212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$48,633.31
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,970.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36,564.24
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$106.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$595
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.