NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a97bc73413eb772ee188d8bd876839fb6829132cb75f091fb9804e9a768ec14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,785,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,833,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,785,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Senators | 53c | 500,133$265,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,558.91 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Canadiens | 47c | 400,000$188,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Senators | 53c | 377,197$199,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,513.97 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Canadiens | 47c | 300,000$141,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,000 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 52c | 193,344$100,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,539.08 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 65c | 152,815$98,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,835.43 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Canadiens | 48c | 129,166$62,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,166.32 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Canadiens | 48c | 105,652$50,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,151.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Senators | 53c | 95,389$50,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,556.11 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 52c | 75,737$39,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,379.78 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canadiens | 23c | 60,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,199.94 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canadiens | 56c | 56,889$31,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,248.32 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 46c | 55,503$25,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,710.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Canadiens | 46c | 43,473$19,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,475.4 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Canadiens | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Canadiens | 23c | 25,091$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,320.02 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 21,764$10,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,501.23 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canadiens | 48c | 21,332$10,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,064.68 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Senators | 21c | 13,507$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Canadiens | 47c | 13,486$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,105.96 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Canadiens | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 11,169$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.57 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators | 52c | 11,047$5,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,744.21 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 47c | 11,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 23c | 10,643$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Canadiens | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 62c | 10,370$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Canadiens | 47c | 10,360$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.82 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Canadiens | 62c | 10,082$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.3 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Canadiens | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 48c | 9,768$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.04 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Canadiens | 47c | 8,638$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Senators | 39c | 7,768$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.88 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canadiens | 47c | 7,190$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.49 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Canadiens | 23c | 7,007$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.35 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens | 47c | 6,501$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.45 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Senators | 78c | 6,191$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.49 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Canadiens | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Canadiens | 47c | 6,000$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.99 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Canadiens | 74c | 5,110$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.33 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Canadiens | 47c | 5,024$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.72 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Canadiens | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canadiens | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 38c | 5,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Canadiens | 48c | 4,638$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 52c | 4,600$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.98 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Canadiens | 47c | 4,187$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.14 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Canadiens | 31c | 4,110$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.64 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 47c | 3,784$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.05 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Senators | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,257$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.76 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 21c | 3,184$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.16 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canadiens | 48c | 3,083$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.31 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…2a93backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,065$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Canadiens | 48c | 3,042$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.67 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 3,015$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.7 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Canadiens | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,825$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.15 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,542$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.67 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,524$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.92 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,393$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.32 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 72c | 2,370$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.39 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Canadiens | 67c | 2,247$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 53c | 2,166$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.52 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,164$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Canadiens | 57c | 2,109$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.55 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Canadiens | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,000$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,989$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.93 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,958$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.74 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,862$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.86 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Senators | 43c | 1,827$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.4 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,789$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.18 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Senators | 2c | 1,780$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Senators | 52c | 1,760$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.65 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Senators | 5c | 1,600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Canadiens | 2c | 1,555$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.35 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,515$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.31 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Canadiens | 57c | 1,503$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.8 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…45a6backed Canadiens | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 12c | 1,431$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.07 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…cc04backed Senators | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,300$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.61 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Senators | 78c | 1,204$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.9 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,152$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.54 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,054$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.8 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Senatorsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.