TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe732…898f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,364
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 64 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT15149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$187.54
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$332
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33%+$191
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.79
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,664Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$1,324.77
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$2,231
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.64
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.5
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.39
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+171.6%+$1,640.31
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$164.02
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$932.95
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.8
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.79
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.48
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT14628.1%41 W · 105 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$68.9
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.13
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.89
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$42.6
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220.87
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.95
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.92
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.16
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.15
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.55
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$75.62
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.54
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.93
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.88
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$150.64
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,912.49
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$78.95
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$212.53
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT11950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.51
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$2,207.05
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.05
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.6
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$310.87
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.88
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$450.99
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$3,417.9
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,805.43
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$49.28
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.41
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$2,408.67
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.58
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,794Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$4,608.21
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,924.84
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.28
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$83.78
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.42
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,041.23
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$36.64
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10533.3%35 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,022.83
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$101.1
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$362
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$495.5
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.03
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.11
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,045Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.6%+$2,505.21
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$210
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$403
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+97%+$394
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$610.63
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9848%47 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.16
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.97
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+66%+$62.45
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$18.3
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.82
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$207
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.29
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.78
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$34.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$61.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$3,267.54
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$530.83
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.83
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+282.6%+$950.72
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$443.25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$202.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$222.7
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT9041.1%37 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.94
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.63
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$98.99
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.73
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.32
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.67
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.81
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.86
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$308.99
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$139.24
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122%+$133.72
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$229.2
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$240.82
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$93.17
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.98
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST7751.9%40 W · 37 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+146.7%+$1,334.65
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$221.47
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.3%+$284.55
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+86.8%+$5,713.6
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.2%+$92
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+268.1%+$1,220.59
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$659.97
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.71
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$116.05
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52.9%+$104.5
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+50%+$152.9
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+93.7%+$764.22
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$350.28
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.4%+$83.6
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37.5%+$20.4
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.95
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$353.4
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$162.18
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.14
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+849%+$484.64
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+34.6%+$195.97
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+27.7%+$60.8
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT7143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$420.89
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$8,248.03
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.48
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$742.47
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$125
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$43.24
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$88
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$202.32
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.72
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.4
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.1
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+624.8%+$172.41
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.64
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.8
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6538.5%25 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$224.24
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.87
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.22
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$141.93
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$122.97
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35.85
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+207.5%+$211.77
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.9%+$110.25
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.8%+$196.61
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 24–27%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.03
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.99
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$747.2
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.1
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$167
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 30% and 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+268.4%+$295.26
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+191.3%+$280.04
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT6246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.9
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$30.15
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,988Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62%+$1,851.27
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,840Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,974.13
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$198.44
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.15
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$41.68
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.03
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.64
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.92
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.92
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-25.5)backed Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.08
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-3.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.92
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,272
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.24
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.79
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$698.58
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5137.3%19 W · 32 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+1,891.2%+$751.14
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.48
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$128.14
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.95
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$330.09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$330.24
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81%+$143.41
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.63
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$86.45
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.64
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$412.28
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.28
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.81
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.69
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.49
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.79
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+566.7%+$83.71
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.61
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.62
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$57.29
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+697.3%+$114.95
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$90.77
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56.71
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.59
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$59.04
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST3135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?backed Mamdani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+43.1%+$120.4
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$73.83
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$36.12
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$91.08
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+66.4%+$118.24
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 21–24%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.78
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 24–27%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.25
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.68
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$394.69
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46.1
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+178.7%+$1,120.86
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$179.49
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will less than 50 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.85
Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$107.69
Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$275.4
Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$23.68
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.58
Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+335.4%+$114.76
Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$44.15
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+112%+$302.79
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$936.23
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+34.7%+$85.44
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.39
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,635.67
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.23
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$191.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51%+$16.2
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$415.1
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,080.14
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$183.69
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,703Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$517.69
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$49.97
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$100.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339.46
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$135
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$382.57
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$68.86
Will Justin Bieber play "Beauty and a Beat" first at Coachella?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$42.16
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.78
Will BULLY debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+34.3%+$112.2
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.4%+$94.38
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+339.6%+$154.5
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$293.13
Will "Trump" be said at the Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.6%+$55.86
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.4
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$78.17
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 5 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$133
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+89.3%+$260.23
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.49
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.46
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3250000 and 3500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 30–35 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.49
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 35–40 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 25–30 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.36
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have 50 million or more views on Friday at noon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+192.2%+$46.03
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$103.19
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 10-15m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+430.2%+$283.83
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$321.55
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs suspended this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$24.6
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$73.39
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.77
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+191.2%+$1,297.28
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+207.1%+$2,597.14
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.84
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.91
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$87.87
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$222.7
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+67%+$141.7
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$175.19
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+91.1%+$110.71
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,110
Chiefs Parlay - Chiefs win, Mahomes 225+ passing yards, Kelce 40+ receiving yardsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$28.47
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+199.7%+$45.98
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+55.4%+$138.24
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$299.2
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+43.6%+$443.2
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+154%+$133.08
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+27.4%+$43
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+132.1%+$272.61
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 90 and 100 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.47
All 24 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.45
Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.94
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+733.3%+$337.93
Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+102.7%+$29.19
Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$159.9
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Coinbase say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will Google say "DeepMind / Deep Mind" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$37.8
Will Google say "Profitability" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+293.5%+$636.44
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.95
Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$10
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,740.98
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Broadcom beat Q2 earnings forecast ($1.57 EPS)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$165.88
All 20 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+70.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+107.6%+$407.85
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+70.6%+$200.61
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$318.36
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+65.1%+$59.83
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$164
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$822.32
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,663Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+115.9%+$5,405.66
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.2%+$189.1
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$119
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+363.2%+$217.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$51.47
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 70%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.1%+$33.2
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+54.2%+$8.2
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,689Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$593.59
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$253.74
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.66
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.3%+$100.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150.67
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C or below on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+78.6%+$33.9
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$57.6
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+80%+$35.64
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+335.1%+$1,119.73
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.57
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.87
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$221.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.31
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 56°F or higher on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 19 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.29
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.5 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.45
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+171%+$252.12
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.59
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+85.4%+$58.91
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.07
Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$89
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.86
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+552.6%+$1,046.66
Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.06
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.66
All 17 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+43%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+442.1%+$872.08
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$439.95
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+171.9%+$1,338.36
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$25.05
DeepSeek V4 released by April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$41
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+93.3%+$15.46
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+203%+$66.99
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.89
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Trump x Xi talk before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.8
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+277.3%+$187.35
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.96
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,519Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+54.5%+$828.5
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+176.5%+$273.52
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.06
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+129.2%+$120.44
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$77.44
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$186.87
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+134.1%+$570.46
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$26.52
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.9%+$757.28
Will the fight go the distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.8%+$119.41
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Who will win Anderson Silva vs Tyron Woodley?backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$51.29
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$10.44
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$13
All 14 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$1,002.26
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$13
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$34.74
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $325?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.87
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $310?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $340?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$21.94
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Will Netflix dip to $91 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$132.03
Will Palantir dip to $141 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.92
Will Opendoor reach $8.50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+55.7%+$98.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-58.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$160.1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.33
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.19
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$442.98
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+45.8%+$522.74
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.43
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.9
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.33
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.57
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+41%+$29.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$1,039.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+34%+$16.73
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.9%+$182.59
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+27.5%+$21.49
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$4.37
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$87.4
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,644Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$856
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-64.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+124.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+71%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.3%+$80.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$229.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $100 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.