NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eed25f7e647085bc3ebf495b9450f89b09d04d170d02a2b1744889ab659dbe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,116,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Wizards | 19c | 80,495$15,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,405.88 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 64c | 66,107$42,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,563.48 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Wizards | 53c | 56,972$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,971.93 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 52c | 31,915$16,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,686.85 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Bucks | 26c | 31,500$8,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,257.58 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks | 47c | 28,207$13,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,284.21 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 55c | 27,809$15,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,287.79 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 49c | 26,958$13,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,820.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Wizards | 56c | 24,079$13,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,634.38 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 48c | 20,585$9,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 29c | 20,072$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,312.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 40c | 17,464$6,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,494.04 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 74c | 15,934$11,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,827.41 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Wizards | 9c | 10,986$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,986.16 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Bucks | 74c | 10,208$7,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,553.91 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 61c | 10,089$6,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,195.66 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bucks | 61c | 9,033$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.65 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bucks | 54c | 8,724$4,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,728.77 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Bucks | 38c | 8,209$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Bucks | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bucks | 71c | 8,000$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.99 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 80c | 7,732$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.55 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Bucks | 61c | 7,468$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.86 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Wizards | 30c | 6,697$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Wizards | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.61 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 34c | 5,925$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.09 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 41c | 5,795$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 54c | 5,768$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.63 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 56c | 5,687$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.34 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Wizards | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.16 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bucks | 48c | 5,231$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…9577backed Bucks | 79c | 5,150$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 19c | 5,050$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.93 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 38c | 4,693$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 54c | 4,461$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.21 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.28 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 28c | 4,132$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.23 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Wizards | 73c | 4,125$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.78 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Bucks | 70c | 4,111$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.91 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Bucks | 37c | 4,097$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Wizards | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Wizards | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Wizards | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.94 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Wizards | 35c | 3,942$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 58c | 3,791$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.88 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bucks | 44c | 3,754$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.93 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards | 36c | 3,694$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.05 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Bucks | 80c | 3,679$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.5 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Bucks | 32c | 3,661$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.52 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 18c | 3,307$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.36 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Bucks | 56c | 3,039$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 19c | 2,734$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.61 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Wizards | 34c | 2,670$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.59 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 57c | 2,640$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.69 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Wizards | 52c | 2,467$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.8 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3579backed Wizards | 19c | 2,400$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Wizards | 19c | 2,368$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.42 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Wizards | 66c | 2,326$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.66 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Wizards | 26c | 2,308$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.96 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Wizards | 76c | 2,262$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.95 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Wizards | 49c | 2,160$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.02 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bucks | 7c | 2,142$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wizards | 35c | 2,012$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.61 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Wizards | 20c | 2,000$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Wizards | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.93 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wizards | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.89 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Wizards | 50c | 1,986$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.57 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Bucks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…5caabacked Wizards | 20c | 1,875$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Wizards | 70c | 1,785$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.51 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Wizards | 26c | 1,672$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Wizards | 57c | 1,611$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.7 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 7c | 1,557$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.9 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4716…3444backed Wizards | 50c | 1,533$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.41 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0299backed Wizards | 66c | 1,507$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.29 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Wizards | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Wizards | 15c | 1,463$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Wizards | 25c | 1,452$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.53 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 19c | 1,400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Wizards | 15c | 1,400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.98 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Wizards | 16c | 1,390$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.26 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…ffb2backed Wizards | 26c | 1,354$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,333$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.32 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Bucks | 80c | 1,295$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Wizards | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wizards | 61c | 1,192$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.9 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 30c | 1,124$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.96 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Bucks | 35c | 1,109$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Bucks | 41c | 1,109$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Wizards | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.96 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Bucks | 56c | 1,075$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bucks | 63c | 1,072$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.43 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Wizards | 9c | 1,069$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.82 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Wizards | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Bucksthis page
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.