TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cca…6143

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
452
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT41550.1%208 W · 207 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 415 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.33
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.29
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.29
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.65
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 415 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,431.89
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Uruguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Sweden 0 - 0 Tunisia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$132.99
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+77.3%+$98.31
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45.83
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.98
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.92
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Gen.G vs PSG Talon (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+165.1%+$49.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+1,307%+$143.76
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$581.22
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$360
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.