Lol · resolved market
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612bd96fb1007546529fdcff9e296ef92d06e905f10292314fa3a7668cb9388f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Life Esportsof 100 Thieves, Hanwha Life Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,363,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,431,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,363,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…5503backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 267,393$45,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,414.03 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 99,238$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +699.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked 100 Thieves | 12c | 80,775$9,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,864.11 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 58,500$8,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,447.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked 100 Thieves | 12c | 47,164$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…13fcbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 35,304$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 28,846$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.45 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…cd44backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 19,400$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 15,773$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 13,905$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed 100 Thieves | 4c | 12,613$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.76 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 12,369$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.14 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…004abacked 100 Thieves | 2c | 10,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 8,135$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.1 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 7,274$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.63 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…6f72backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 6,747$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 6,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…caa4backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 4,775$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 4,396$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.59 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 4,066$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.36 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked 100 Thieves | 7c | 3,467$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 3,053$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked 100 Thieves | 11c | 3,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac05…cdc5backed 100 Thieves | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 2,856$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.83 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 2,831$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 2,509$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 2,412$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.82 | 131 | 21.4%28 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…6d5ebacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 2,389$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked 100 Thieves | 11c | 2,360$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 2,342$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…9b6cbacked 100 Thieves | 3c | 2,276$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked 100 Thieves | 11c | 1,845$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 1,733$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked 100 Thieves | 5c | 1,614$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 1,527$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 1,450$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 1,443$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 1,424$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…cfd2backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 1,420$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 1,380$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.26 | 402 | 32.8%132 W · 270 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…6b50backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…113ebacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4db9backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 1,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…afb1backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 1,160$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d3…1719backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,043$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…ee8cbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked 100 Thieves | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked 100 Thieves | 4c | 999.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf89b…62fbbacked 100 Thieves | 7c | 933.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked 100 Thieves | 10c | 886.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 875$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…f235backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 862.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…f783backed 100 Thieves | 4c | 807.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked 100 Thieves | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…107cbacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 784.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…c972backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 767.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 749.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…8ec5backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 733.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…6355backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 730$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…6984backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 707.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed 100 Thieves | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…5855backed 100 Thieves | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed 100 Thieves | 4c | 663.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4e67backed 100 Thieves | 5c | 655.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 654.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…1ee8backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 649.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…08e3backed 100 Thieves | 8c | 647.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…3e19backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 626.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…ded5backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 613.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…5a1dbacked 100 Thieves | 4c | 612$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked 100 Thieves | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…0cccbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…171ebacked 100 Thieves | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked 100 Thieves | 9c | 599.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…6019backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 566.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f454backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…c614backed 100 Thieves | 5c | 483.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…a6e7backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 440$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 430$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 418.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…0e41backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 416.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 410$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 408.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked 100 Thieves | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 399.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.