TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fec…c965

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.94
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$364.17
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,850
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,599.99
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$7,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,356.55
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3,180
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$275.62
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,840Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,160.05
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,200
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,730Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+189%+$3,270.1
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+404.5%+$4,810.73
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,756.5
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.5%+$1,003.61
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.03
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$99.01
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.87
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.6%+$304.14
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.15
US strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.06
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Baylor vs. TCUbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Oklahoma vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.83
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,285.76
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$67.85
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.02
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$45
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$129.5
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.42
UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.82
Florida International vs. Western Kentuckybacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,873.5
New Mexico State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.8
Florida Gators vs. Texas A&Mbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$790.12
Spread: San Diego State (-7.5)backed San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
San Diego State vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$87.58
Arizona State vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$223.87
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.74
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.91
Clemson vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.89
South Carolina vs. LSUbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesotabacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.37
Michigan vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+67%+$73.89
UL Monroe vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked UL Monroe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.99
Iowa vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.97
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,512Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$3,487.63
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$12.27
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.4%+$14.39
Will Trump send the national guard to San Francisco by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.18
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.4%+$361.02
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$121.87
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.8%+$306.06
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,279Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$609.13
Will Trump visit China by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.79
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.98
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.83
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38.5%+$96.63
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,884Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$647.36
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$34.91
Will Mike Bloomberg endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$18.08
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.87
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+44%+$57.92
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+124.1%+$191.25
Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.76
Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.99
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.89
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$4,656.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+400%+$8,000
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.98
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$720.71
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.22
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$352.38
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$400.41
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.83
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$531.56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.32
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$253.35
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+198.5%+$63.35
Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$7.77
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$48.52
Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.55
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$758.93
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,339Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$661.48
US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42%+$100.61
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.02
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will turnout be at least 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25.3%+$48.82
Will turnout be between 72% and 75% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.18
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+74.3%+$13.52
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60.23
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$65.19
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.7
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.99
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.47
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.42
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.72
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,530
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,440
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$328.77
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$27.39
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.4
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,591Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$2,488.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.25
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.88
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$201.64
Predators vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.99
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$218.37
Avalanche vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.99
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.26
Blue Jackets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.99
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$70.09
Canadiens vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.23
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.07
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+61.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$145.25
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$75.26
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$151.66
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$29.52
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7.61
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.56
Democratic sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$67.87
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$311.22
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$677.84
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$210.3
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$202.07
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$168.7
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.17
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,838.36
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.3
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+53.5%+$747.21
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$127.7
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.49
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.17
Will Albania win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+427.1%+$1,858
Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will Spain win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.78
Will Bulgaria vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will Spain vs. Georgia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-80.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.06
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.6
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.61
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.56
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$29.6
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.18
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.8
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$564.93
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,518.49
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+145.1%+$717.63
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39.5%+$68.69
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$52.5
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,611Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$1,018.81
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$549.34
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$431.41
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.38
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$868.61
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$32.13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$605.73
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$67.91
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.94
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+39.4%+$19.34
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.64
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$989.99
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$169.9
Luque vs. Álvarezbacked Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.backed Aswell Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Rocha vs. Nicollbacked Nicoll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.18
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+82.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$422.95
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$75.54
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.05
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,511.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$447.55
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$79.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$364
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$616.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will October 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.