Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9322e033c6dc8be6d8495cc44ac578abaa28a8cccdb783de1bff0026066d1d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,804,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,590,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,804,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 955 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2ee…9c7fbacked Yes | 2c | 412,234$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…11bebacked Yes | 0c | 254,500$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…1f87backed No | 53c | 174,453$91,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,560.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 4c | 144,027$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.26 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked No | 70c | 110,436$76,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,487.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 99,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…bac2backed Yes | 3c | 95,428$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 86,369$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.44 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 34c | 84,415$28,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,844.46 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…b6a5backed Yes | 0c | 76,923$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 71,605$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.39 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…8d17backed Yes | 0c | 68,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…33dbbacked Yes | 29c | 60,183$17,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,729.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 2c | 53,432$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.42 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 40c | 44,029$17,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,410.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…0c31backed Yes | 38c | 43,970$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,700.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 41,513$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.57 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…0b1abacked Yes | 7c | 40,353$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 5c | 40,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fbf6backed Yes | 3c | 40,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 46c | 39,737$18,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,459.49 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 2c | 39,365$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.81 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…6712backed No | 79c | 37,362$29,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,883.93 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…86f3backed Yes | 27c | 34,081$9,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,041.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 78c | 33,438$26,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,413.43 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…a905backed Yes | 29c | 31,448$9,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,044.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 31,389$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.95 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 27c | 30,848$8,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,379.75 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…cdf0backed No | 66c | 30,282$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,282 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 63c | 29,249$18,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,793.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 20c | 28,738$5,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,747.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfc…3d2ebacked No | 77c | 25,643$19,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 8c | 25,083$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…336bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5083backed Yes | 13c | 24,230$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 66c | 23,888$15,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,147.53 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…4735backed Yes | 28c | 23,413$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ee…894bbacked Yes | 24c | 23,000$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 30c | 22,500$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.85 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 22,152$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 6c | 21,786$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…d29dbacked Yes | 15c | 20,544$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 52c | 20,385$10,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,584.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc665…8c1ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,256$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed No | 75c | 20,105$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a18…43b3backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 39c | 20,000$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…4804backed Yes | 1c | 19,776$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 2c | 19,590$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bb…bcd6backed No | 80c | 19,509$15,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…8b38backed Yes | 20c | 19,450$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 33c | 18,931$6,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.2 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 27c | 18,415$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…b09bbacked No | 58c | 17,745$10,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,375.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 22c | 15,732$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.97 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…cf10backed Yes | 5c | 15,728$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…e8dfbacked Yes | 28c | 14,598$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930a…f1aebacked Yes | 21c | 14,257$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…565bbacked Yes | 3c | 14,065$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…3f78backed Yes | 16c | 13,974$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd820…5644backed Yes | 20c | 13,920$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed No | 61c | 13,696$8,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 32c | 13,327$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.8 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…3e38backed Yes | 19c | 12,500$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…a6d9backed Yes | 30c | 12,199$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.89 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 1c | 11,925$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 3c | 11,200$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 4c | 11,194$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9b…765ebacked Yes | 4c | 11,170$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…5136backed Yes | 27c | 11,090$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…7f5ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,039$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 72c | 10,517$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.29 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 61c | 10,495$6,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.99 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…1da9backed Yes | 37c | 10,300$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…8287backed Yes | 0c | 10,250$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…7de2backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.11 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 33c | 10,000$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…c0aebacked Yes | 1c | 9,845$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd709…5f46backed Yes | 22c | 9,800$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 63c | 9,456$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 30c | 9,267$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.94 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…1c5abacked No | 56c | 9,200$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 4c | 8,761$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.83 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…9554backed Yes | 1c | 8,757$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,654$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…4e19backed No | 59c | 8,536$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…e203backed Yes | 37c | 8,501$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.85 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 76c | 8,480$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…d0fbbacked No | 71c | 8,468$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3e7cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…8735backed Yes | 7c | 7,950$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 31c | 7,919$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.25 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…d465backed Yes | 1c | 7,800$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 7,800$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.62 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 29c | 7,773$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.12 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed No | 71c | 7,650$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.