Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aeb566c973d193ef7f77d2532ba6bffe4f76d5f6b7c5422ceaa966536b7ef90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,605,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,835,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,605,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 1c | 394,035$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.99 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…203cbacked Yes | 29c | 290,774$84,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,933.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 15c | 163,362$24,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,116.97 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 12c | 117,111$13,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,947.78 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 8c | 110,353$8,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,997.18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 7c | 109,022$7,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,473.83 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…039dbacked Yes | 2c | 99,635$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.74 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…44b8backed Yes | 15c | 87,934$13,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,292.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 76c | 73,603$55,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,679.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 11c | 71,273$8,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,027.31 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 79c | 58,991$46,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,403.31 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed Yes | 17c | 57,951$9,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,659.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 19c | 55,555$10,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,555.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 79c | 55,078$43,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,682.31 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9841…5189backed No | 55c | 46,357$25,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,025.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 18c | 45,693$8,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,096.3 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 1c | 45,444$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 8c | 44,908$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.23 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 14c | 44,056$6,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 5c | 43,668$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.06 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 7c | 42,999$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.64 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 15c | 42,411$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 64c | 42,328$26,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,363.13 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…106dbacked Yes | 9c | 42,103$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…6d23backed Yes | 68c | 41,966$28,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,414.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 70c | 38,143$26,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,416.01 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed Yes | 62c | 35,782$22,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,012.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d92fbacked Yes | 29c | 35,237$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…ff71backed Yes | 2c | 35,160$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +273.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked No | 36c | 34,444$12,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,174.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 6c | 32,853$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…f6ccbacked Yes | 10c | 32,016$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 73c | 31,404$22,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,529.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…622dbacked Yes | 11c | 29,114$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…1989backed Yes | 8c | 27,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 14c | 26,834$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.38 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 76c | 25,987$19,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.75 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…64a7backed Yes | 64c | 25,216$16,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,108.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 5c | 25,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 2c | 24,390$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc3…ec3cbacked Yes | 10c | 24,241$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…accebacked Yes | 10c | 23,958$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.97 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 66c | 23,162$15,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,289.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…2aadbacked Yes | 11c | 22,279$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 69c | 22,246$15,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,852.78 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b52ebacked No | 29c | 20,414$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,414.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…8b50backed Yes | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 14c | 19,409$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.02 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 13c | 18,970$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.7 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…b7b0backed Yes | 15c | 18,822$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 6c | 18,581$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.51 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 18,534$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 62c | 18,437$11,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,375.91 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…7ee2backed No | 74c | 18,000$13,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…7789backed No | 64c | 17,836$11,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,448.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…4612backed Yes | 6c | 17,806$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…7ebfbacked Yes | 31c | 17,685$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked No | 49c | 17,575$8,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,007.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked No | 77c | 16,779$12,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.77 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…9b7abacked Yes | 2c | 16,453$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 16,396$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 56c | 16,115$9,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,098.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Yes | 34c | 16,090$5,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…8e98backed Yes | 7c | 16,015$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 23c | 15,729$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.03 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…4845backed No | 79c | 15,419$12,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.15 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…3cf4backed Yes | 8c | 15,275$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 14,330$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.25 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 6c | 14,247$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.43 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 10c | 13,733$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.99 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 72c | 13,727$9,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.54 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 15c | 13,713$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 8c | 13,258$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 48c | 13,233$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,385.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 32c | 12,917$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,815.67 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 8c | 12,794$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.37 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…e0a3backed Yes | 1c | 12,650$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 40c | 12,500$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 76c | 12,000$9,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed No | 79c | 12,000$9,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…f419backed Yes | 18c | 11,741$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 12c | 11,545$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.36 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 6c | 11,492$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.53 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…7be1backed Yes | 13c | 11,301$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Yes | 9c | 11,070$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 22c | 11,022$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.02 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed Yes | 73c | 11,017$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed No | 20c | 10,965$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,791.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 13c | 10,832$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.26 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 2c | 10,705$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes | 24c | 10,610$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7911…0c01backed Yes | 6c | 10,247$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa5…4369backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…d732backed No | 71c | 9,921$7,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 75c | 9,873$7,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…6a46backed Yes | 27c | 9,745$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 6c | 9,665$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.63 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.