Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2be3a5471b343d43b9f0d3f141611b91feb8c66aed8e286cd3d2540714aaba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,857,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,255,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,857,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 2,411,983$6,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.99 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…9334backed Yes | 6c | 945,000$56,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…0412backed Yes | 0c | 824,032$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…98d0backed Yes | 0c | 419,999$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 387,794$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 374,106$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 296,498$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 6c | 200,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 157,498$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.99 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 115,200$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.57 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…0ba8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 93,682$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…2a10backed Yes | 4c | 69,994$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f0…d76cbacked Yes | 9c | 66,916$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,139.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 4c | 58,625$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.89 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…45adbacked Yes | 16c | 56,911$9,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,127.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…5e70backed Yes | 2c | 51,469$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 5c | 50,502$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.85 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…336bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…9a9cbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes | 3c | 43,294$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.97 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 42,002$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d0…ade5backed Yes | 6c | 41,674$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 4c | 41,649$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.98 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…3834backed Yes | 4c | 36,771$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6122backed Yes | 4c | 36,400$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…32d9backed Yes | 3c | 34,773$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…64d3backed Yes | 3c | 32,637$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,970$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 4c | 29,513$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.92 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8be…830cbacked Yes | 15c | 26,577$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…ad18backed Yes | 4c | 25,519$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Yes | 0c | 25,168$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 13c | 25,000$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 10c | 25,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 24,712$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.83 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32fa…076cbacked Yes | 4c | 24,536$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…a653backed Yes | 9c | 24,381$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…374fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,633$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…1d78backed Yes | 9c | 22,629$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 4c | 21,970$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…d787backed Yes | 2c | 21,048$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.58 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 3c | 20,871$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…baabbacked Yes | 0c | 20,400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 20,020$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e50…8f81backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…3a92backed Yes | 4c | 19,584$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 9c | 18,705$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Yes | 10c | 17,950$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…625bbacked Yes | 15c | 17,782$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 16,723$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 16,194$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 15,100$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.84 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…2a2cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 13,870$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 4c | 13,098$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.89 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 8c | 13,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe1…6905backed Yes | 2c | 13,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 12,010$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…bad8backed Yes | 2c | 11,991$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…db54backed Yes | 9c | 11,684$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…7415backed Yes | 5c | 10,649$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…f923backed Yes | 4c | 10,632$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…a948backed Yes | 6c | 10,616$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…2907backed Yes | 3c | 10,257$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…e573backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…f9dabacked Yes | 6c | 9,749$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 0c | 9,468$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…141bbacked Yes | 3c | 8,944$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…ce45backed Yes | 14c | 8,895$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…a1aebacked Yes | 8c | 8,877$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…45e9backed Yes | 3c | 8,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…1f59backed Yes | 3c | 8,372$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e44…67febacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ed9abacked Yes | 3c | 8,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…ede7backed Yes | 0c | 7,913$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 5c | 7,900$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 2c | 7,880$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…1c02backed Yes | 1c | 7,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 4c | 7,585$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 5c | 6,891$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…5f21backed Yes | 15c | 6,458$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed No | 80c | 6,279$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…8934backed Yes | 1c | 6,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…e211backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 7c | 6,232$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.27 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 4c | 6,110$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 2c | 6,030$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…a843backed Yes | 6c | 6,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…e64bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,736$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 3c | 5,705$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 9c | 5,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes | 11c | 5,367$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…15dfbacked Yes | 13c | 5,331$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.