Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffcbecbfa6983b3cdd5e91d078088beb5738d0c746bcedceb62f7bfed0470af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,066,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,387,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,066,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 16c | 213,764$33,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,740.67 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 12c | 146,927$18,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,334.69 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed No | 72c | 134,098$96,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,369.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 24c | 113,885$27,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,147.75 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…c3cbbacked Yes | 38c | 85,595$32,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,377.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…bafcbacked No | 70c | 80,842$56,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,984.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked No | 77c | 74,020$56,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,174.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…6ee8backed Yes | 32c | 73,681$23,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,222.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21b4backed No | 62c | 71,427$44,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,209.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 13c | 65,146$8,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,690.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…3eafbacked Yes | 32c | 61,279$19,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,869.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…d28dbacked Yes | 42c | 58,075$24,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,533.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 59c | 57,654$34,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,437.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 63c | 55,110$34,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,501.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 22c | 53,659$11,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,565.21 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed No | 61c | 51,095$31,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,036.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…b876backed No | 66c | 49,989$33,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,913.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked No | 68c | 47,164$32,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,881.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 71c | 44,530$31,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,011.32 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 75c | 43,311$32,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,827.35 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 28c | 42,182$11,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,664.6 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…fbaabacked No | 68c | 41,917$28,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,598.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…9294backed No | 66c | 31,390$20,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,682.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…011abacked No | 62c | 31,380$19,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,881 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 77c | 29,995$23,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,975.41 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 46c | 29,941$13,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,816.35 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 36c | 29,539$10,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,677.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Yes | 4c | 29,346$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 64c | 28,799$18,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,334.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 57c | 28,597$16,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,288.51 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 33c | 28,000$9,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,231.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…f734backed Yes | 36c | 27,313$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked No | 73c | 27,160$19,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.11 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 43c | 27,000$11,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,487.93 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 28c | 26,724$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed Yes | 20c | 26,323$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,255.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 33c | 26,102$8,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,651.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 25,652$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…aefebacked No | 67c | 25,313$16,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,344.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed No | 39c | 25,252$9,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,295.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +360.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 32c | 25,014$7,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,996.63 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…d68cbacked Yes | 1c | 24,994$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked No | 48c | 24,762$11,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,853.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 22c | 23,044$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.69 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 31c | 22,342$7,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,002.61 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 22,292$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.36 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes | 39c | 22,033$8,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,528.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…dd0dbacked No | 70c | 21,668$15,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 60c | 20,898$12,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,569.26 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…81c5backed No | 70c | 20,007$14,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed No | 49c | 20,000$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 64c | 19,678$12,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Yes | 5c | 19,643$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 74c | 19,395$14,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…13ebbacked Yes | 6c | 19,300$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed No | 44c | 19,222$8,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,731.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed No | 46c | 18,895$8,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,268.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 26c | 18,672$4,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.46 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…4bd2backed No | 40c | 18,401$7,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,033.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…48dbbacked No | 77c | 17,874$13,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 6c | 17,709$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.42 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 72c | 17,681$12,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.5 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 26c | 17,566$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.09 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…dd48backed Yes | 14c | 17,433$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…7750backed Yes | 18c | 17,283$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…d6ddbacked No | 57c | 17,279$9,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…11e3backed Yes | 27c | 17,000$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…64a7backed Yes | 15c | 16,885$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed No | 68c | 16,819$11,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,463.68 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…19aebacked No | 79c | 16,311$12,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 77c | 16,127$12,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.6 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…1dd4backed No | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…c4d0backed No | 77c | 14,975$11,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 14,954$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.5 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Yes | 33c | 14,921$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…668fbacked Yes | 55c | 14,908$8,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,213.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 4c | 14,420$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 14,266$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.06 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…8fd4backed No | 69c | 14,226$9,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…1b90backed Yes | 32c | 14,037$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…ffd8backed No | 72c | 13,889$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 32c | 13,735$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed No | 56c | 13,617$7,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…62e0backed Yes | 14c | 13,486$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…215bbacked Yes | 35c | 13,371$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…f8bdbacked No | 62c | 13,297$8,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,048.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 45c | 13,261$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,025 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked No | 62c | 13,121$8,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 51c | 12,496$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,337.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 20c | 12,260$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.21 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 2c | 12,158$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.19 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 17c | 12,035$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.62 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 27c | 12,000$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 50c | 11,874$5,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,951.55 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 65c | 11,691$7,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…9847backed Yes | 50c | 11,666$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 35c | 11,462$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…1e72backed No | 71c | 11,274$7,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.