Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a914dc0a98b109dfbcb6e8f8acfdf46c9a06fc6eac38f842b354983541a9e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,734,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,899,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,734,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 184,991$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 3c | 69,877$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.86 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 2c | 56,334$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…fa25backed Yes | 4c | 54,223$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.62 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 3c | 53,879$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.59 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 2c | 50,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 3c | 41,346$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.41 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…039dbacked Yes | 1c | 31,574$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.05 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 2c | 26,261$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…04b9backed Yes | 1c | 25,978$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…18eabacked Yes | 2c | 25,000$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 25,000$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 20,312$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.85 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 18,704$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 3c | 18,003$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.02 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…e26bbacked Yes | 5c | 17,950$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…3d9dbacked Yes | 3c | 16,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…3822backed Yes | 1c | 14,901$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…eba8backed Yes | 5c | 14,830$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 2c | 14,270$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 9,015$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.46 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…2e45backed Yes | 1c | 8,880$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a3…6bd4backed Yes | 2c | 8,360$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.31 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 7,839$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 2c | 7,648$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…e581backed Yes | 1c | 7,406$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 7,300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,245$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…7f87backed Yes | 4c | 7,108$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 5c | 7,029$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.81 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,297$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…5dc9backed Yes | 2c | 6,123$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0d9dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,266$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 3c | 5,224$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…6cbcbacked Yes | 3c | 5,133$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,412$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…d81dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,403$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,371$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…f9cabacked Yes | 2c | 3,761$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…4f21backed Yes | 3c | 3,648$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…4bd4backed Yes | 2c | 3,644$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 3c | 3,583$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,526$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,505$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 3c | 3,503$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 3c | 3,499$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,352$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…8feabacked Yes | 0c | 3,138$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1bbcbacked Yes | 4c | 3,020$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,850$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 2,710$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…62b3backed Yes | 5c | 2,681$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 1c | 2,610$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…65eebacked Yes | 3c | 2,376$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…7707backed Yes | 4c | 2,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…1b46backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…444ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 5c | 1,925$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…faebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,897$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…5434backed Yes | 4c | 1,830$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,811$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…f734backed Yes | 5c | 1,799$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…70e0backed Yes | 1c | 1,768$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 1c | 1,755$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…575bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…7137backed Yes | 2c | 1,466$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…56edbacked Yes | 5c | 1,399$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 1c | 1,396$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…c5b5backed Yes | 3c | 1,362$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…0918backed Yes | 4c | 1,348$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…2321backed Yes | 5c | 1,339$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…92bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,338$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…e960backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…e504backed Yes | 5c | 1,238$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…96b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…0aa4backed Yes | 3c | 1,197$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…afddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,162$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Yes | 3c | 1,147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…aff5backed Yes | 5c | 1,018$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5473…b0e9backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…c117backed Yes | 4c | 999.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…c192backed Yes | 4c | 998.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…ce65backed Yes | 3c | 950$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…8bf2backed Yes | 5c | 947.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…a060backed Yes | 6c | 924.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…6f15backed Yes | 5c | 907.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed Yes | 2c | 870.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…94babacked Yes | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7b…6125backed Yes | 3c | 828.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…9179backed Yes | 5c | 825$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…67e4backed Yes | 6c | 821.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…e2cabacked Yes | 5c | 816.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…89b4backed Yes | 5c | 807.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 4c | 692.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…5dfdbacked Yes | 2c | 657.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…8e98backed Yes | 4c | 649.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.