TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x38a4…4ef2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
540
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT7524%18 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+317.2%+$193.4
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.12
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+265.4%+$52.81
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$32.09
Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+351.4%+$50.7
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.38
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+83%+$9.61
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+1,916.7%+$246.61
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST559.1%5 W · 50 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-60.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$104.69
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.76
Will Canada win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.17
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will France win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.27
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$156.94
Will Austria win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
Will Switzerland win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.96
Will Canada win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.54
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.91
Will the United States win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.47
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+866.7%+$132.54
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.24
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.12
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.11
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106.84
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$146.94
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4814.6%7 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$18.25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.53
Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+2,310.9%+$2,802.56
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.11
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$23.34
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,126
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,375.94
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.41
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+297.9%+$175.41
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$148.06
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.55
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+224.1%+$66.71
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.12
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+202.7%+$157.88
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+253.8%+$97.22
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.69
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.37
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.05
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.19
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.23
Canada recession before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+50%+$17.51
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.46
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.12
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.04
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.29
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.57
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.23
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$34.39
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$125.59
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.01
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$67.15
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$131.58
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.37
Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+4,685.1%+$476.69
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.51
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$33.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+773.7%+$1,101.94
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.08
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$89.22
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32.07
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$57.17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.62
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.41
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34.19
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.51
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$98.81
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35.38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$156.57
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.11
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30.29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+1,802.7%+$408.91
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$32.78
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.37
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$42.71
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.88
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,173
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.33
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.18
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.25
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.96
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.84
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.84
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.04
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.47
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.5
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,395.26
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.27
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,115.37
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.22
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.19
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+4,149.7%+$35,471.6
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.05
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3013.3%4 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-51.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.3
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Will Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62.67
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$65.26
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.89
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.22
Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.43
Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.34
Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$58.33
Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.23
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$86.29
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.13
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.73
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.86
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 28m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.02
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+529.7%+$63.27
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$107.24
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$333.24
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $80 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Solana dip to $100 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.85
Will Solana reach $150 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.73
Will Solana reach $170 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Solana reach $160 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.57
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.87
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.53
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$257.83
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.21
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.28
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.59
Will XRP reach $2.40 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.81
Will XRP dip to $1.30 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.32
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.24
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.7
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.99
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$328.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$162.08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT254%1 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-93.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.02
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.06
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.56
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$32.82
Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68.99
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$179.95
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.57
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51.09
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.49
Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37.28
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.67
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.61
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$81.01
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$302.29
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.46
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.98
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.29
Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.86
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.17
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.87
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.12
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.15
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$701.79
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.91
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.65
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.71
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.58
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.02
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+1,176%+$308.08
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.84
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$52.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick6cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+467.3%+$2,040.15
Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.65
Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$86.59
Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.73
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$278.79
Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.58
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.55
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+1,451.8%+$358.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$9.38
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$133.27
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90.54
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$186.25
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.03
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.22
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.5%+$110.29
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$76.62
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+460%+$119.83
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+70.3%+$13.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.4
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.8
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.23
Will December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+928%+$125.8
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-62%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+203.9%+$41.68
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$143.83
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.23
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.39
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$162.56
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$154.56
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$52.11
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.32
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.81
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.52
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.98
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.66
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.94
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.48
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+159.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+163.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+654%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20.85
Will UMF Breiðablik win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+143.6%+$182.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$4.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will s1mple retire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Paper Rex (BO1)backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.