World Politics · resolved market
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d91cf8a20085e5abf4154a204cf234c1a8b6b81b351fdd75596bbc7851791e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $946,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $946,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked Yes | 4c | 164,332$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked Yes | 3c | 104,245$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.94 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9c74backed Yes | 3c | 52,459$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.53 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e6…beb9backed Yes | 3c | 50,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 3c | 32,060$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.21 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…b707backed Yes | 4c | 30,631$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.17 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Yes | 0c | 28,552$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…81debacked Yes | 6c | 27,149$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 15,182$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.72 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 14,219$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.75 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 4c | 10,291$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…516fbacked Yes | 5c | 10,230$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c5…dfe0backed Yes | 2c | 8,796$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 3c | 7,092$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 6,417$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 5,994$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…eff8backed Yes | 5c | 5,247$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…5a4cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,824$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 4,431$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 4,426$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 4,380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,304$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed Yes | 9c | 4,232$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.18 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,167$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 5c | 4,077$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 3,985$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,972$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…804dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,806$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 3,585$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…3e90backed Yes | 2c | 3,495$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Yes | 2c | 3,345$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…56febacked Yes | 2c | 2,909$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 2c | 2,831$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…4c0bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,813$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed Yes | 4c | 2,729$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Yes | 4c | 2,540$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,487$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…b322backed Yes | 2c | 2,401$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 2,213$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 11c | 2,190$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes | 3c | 2,164$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,084$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 3c | 2,066$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 1c | 2,061$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…f6c6backed Yes | 5c | 1,933$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…ffb6backed Yes | 2c | 1,849$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…ecd7backed Yes | 3c | 1,831$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…ddd9backed Yes | 3c | 1,812$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 1c | 1,635$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,610$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…b18bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,588$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Yes | 5c | 1,501$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 2c | 1,406$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,394$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…9dd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,378$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…e842backed Yes | 2c | 1,377$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…000fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,372$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…66aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,279$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 1,254$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…6bcbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,249$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…2a58backed Yes | 2c | 1,233$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…3d59backed Yes | 2c | 1,120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255d…1f3dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,083$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…e3c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,067$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…2921backed Yes | 4c | 1,019$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 3c | 998.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…87e1backed Yes | 2c | 954.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…3ebcbacked Yes | 2c | 953.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 5c | 930.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…35f8backed Yes | 2c | 922$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 915.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes | 2c | 901.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe4…1deabacked Yes | 2c | 845.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 4c | 838.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…472bbacked Yes | 2c | 811.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 799.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 3c | 793.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 751.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…493ebacked Yes | 6c | 734.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…368cbacked Yes | 4c | 706.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…a6b7backed Yes | 2c | 684.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…5a11backed Yes | 3c | 675.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…8df4backed Yes | 2c | 601.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 584.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…f3fdbacked Yes | 4c | 571.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…f9f0backed Yes | 5c | 568.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…428cbacked Yes | 2c | 561.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…39afbacked Yes | 4c | 553.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…13fbbacked Yes | 2c | 525.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…29e6backed Yes | 4c | 485.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…80febacked Yes | 6c | 466.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked Yes | 4c | 404.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 5c | 372.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…877fbacked Yes | 4c | 336.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…4e68backed Yes | 8c | 299.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…f1b4backed Yes | 5c | 294.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?this page
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?Yes won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.