TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c02…d7dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Stocks, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT240%0 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.83
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$110.18
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.03
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$293.14
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75.02
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80.33
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69.32
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$275.8
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$173
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$304.28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.22
Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$171.88
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.99
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.06
Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.81
Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT240%0 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.8
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.17
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.34
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.31
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.6
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.63
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,282.29
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.75
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.76
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.62
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,228.85
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.68
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.68
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.74
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.31
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.94
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.29
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$795.12
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$166.48
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.05
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.96
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.09
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.93
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.74
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.13
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.12
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.12
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.92
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.61
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.97
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Solana reach $120 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.26
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.98
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.89
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$228.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.9
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$199.41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.25
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+163%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.54
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.15
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.79
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.23
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.63
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$856.28
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.07
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.65
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+3,056.2%+$14,980.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+168.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 32°F or higher on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+2,856.1%+$445.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.83
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.94
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C or higher on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -7°C on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$936.34
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,291.51
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,172.7%+$651.34
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.47
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.61
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.97
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$143.99
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.13
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$151.8
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.96
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.63
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.53
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+980.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+588.6%+$1,644.68
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,373%+$236.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.68
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,474.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,474.3%+$2,938.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.