TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$421,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d64…738ebacked Yes3c14,535$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.235337.7%20 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yes3c13,752$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9755316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes2c12,576$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9910954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c9,682$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1338239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c7,210$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.411,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes1c6,680$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.415724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes2c4,470$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.869618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes3c4,341$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1520536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes2c4,338$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610226.5%27 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c4,268$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.78844.8%4 W · 80 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+489.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes6c4,079$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1638740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes4c3,679$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.16333%1 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c3,613$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4839435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Yes3c3,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes3c2,885$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7513642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c2,724$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7560834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Yes4c2,673$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad2…ad8dbacked Yes4c2,650$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71030%3 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c2,485$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.24440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes4c2,364$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e07…bf5ebacked Yes3c2,341$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf669…4d34backed Yes3c2,284$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed9b…ba1cbacked Yes4c2,283$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x179c…6c4ebacked Yes3c2,213$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes2c2,092$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.92422.4%1 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-17.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes1c2,071$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Yes3c2,052$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5523938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd022…1856backed Yes4c1,930$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes3c1,808$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes4c1,785$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8815010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61a…9544backed Yes6c1,763$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030358.7%178 W · 125 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…d0c6backed Yes4c1,707$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9c…ddd2backed Yes3c1,689$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ef…8947backed Yes4c1,667$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c76…6874backed Yes2c1,664$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab0…1dc3backed Yes2c1,644$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611d…20c5backed Yes3c1,640$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb8…b0fcbacked Yes3c1,598$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cb…521fbacked Yes4c1,559$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c1,547$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7182440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6993…c79abacked Yes1c1,533$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f79…2657backed Yes3c1,527$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512d…fc94backed Yes2c1,511$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes3c1,492$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0073…3ab0backed Yes4c1,490$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…bb6fbacked Yes4c1,481$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes5c1,478$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5720050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d64…ee82backed Yes4c1,473$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes5c1,409$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.729939.4%39 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7470…56c4backed Yes7c1,373$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd214…1ba7backed Yes6c1,342$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.23812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-80.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2486…016fbacked Yes4c1,327$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8584…ba67backed Yes3c1,319$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab73…daefbacked Yes4c1,297$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f06…a9d9backed Yes4c1,281$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd1…4c90backed Yes4c1,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0f…e72abacked Yes4c1,175$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes3c1,148$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.24185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc79…4f4ebacked Yes4c1,095$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d3a…b31ebacked Yes4c1,054$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d4…2771backed Yes3c1,037$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b9…b986backed Yes3c1,034$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes2c1,026$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.44200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6b…902bbacked Yes5c1,024$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb14…f690backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+124.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55c8…b44ebacked Yes5c999.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Yes3c999.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8693…f6f4backed Yes3c970.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes4c923.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8122140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…a613backed Yes4c920$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef1…217fbacked Yes3c920$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50c…f3c6backed Yes3c916$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee6…f017backed Yes2c909.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44774.5%35 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5de8…ef6cbacked Yes4c905$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes4c878.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.98263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba65…3977backed Yes4c873$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db4…29e8backed Yes4c805$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Yes3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5234…2176backed Yes4c799$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea54…ce3dbacked Yes5c784.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3099…bec2backed Yes4c779$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…f7c9backed Yes4c776$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x233e…8583backed Yes3c752.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709c…0b39backed Yes3c747$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9acc…9533backed Yes4c747$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Yes4c744.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes6c738.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.084520%9 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes4c731.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6811128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…940ebacked Yes4c730$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Yes3c712.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012313%16 W · 107 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes3c685.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes2c673.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.03230%0 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a43…ffd3backed Yes4c661$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes3c657.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.07100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x264d…39a3backed Yes4c652$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8304…c02bbacked Yes4c652$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395c…46bebacked Yes4c636$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ce…2b0abacked Yes3c634$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fe…26c5backed Yes4c634$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Yes2c623.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.013167.7%21 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.28per pick40cpaid+48.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.