TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,398,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,734,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,398,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed No6c250,000$15,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,090.6849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No2c111,613$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.763464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed No2c110,973$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.692740.7%11 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked No13c100,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeba7…57d9backed No29c100,000$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,999.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked Yes42c54,991$23,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,801.341070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed No35c51,901$18,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,131.053718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Yes58c50,000$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes76c37,184$28,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,801.3625753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes69c37,035$25,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,339.5824831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes66c34,378$22,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,642.0411639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Yes54c32,433$17,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,919.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes73c23,210$16,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,344.1711447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes36c20,833$7,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,230.419937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes69c20,007$13,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,120.9910049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No34c18,392$6,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,195.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked No57c17,564$9,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,931.5216841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes62c17,424$10,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,675.1731453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes66c16,325$10,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,501.021,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc5…e175backed Yes47c15,710$7,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,330.782119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes71c15,649$11,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.32951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No22c15,351$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.733259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Yes65c15,000$9,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,178.272330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed Yes71c14,034$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,033.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes15c13,830$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,733.3972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Yes71c12,500$8,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ec…1ed5backed Yes64c12,451$8,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…2ab2backed Yes16c11,964$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,079.92977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+303.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed No56c11,840$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,630.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes16c11,578$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,684.4440448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes80c11,572$9,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.8289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c05…8cd5backed Yes78c10,816$8,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Yes38c10,530$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,529.791428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3004037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes20c8,766$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,993.5540133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Yes39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,879.9912058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No2c7,604$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5146426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes69c7,297$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.011361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3575…4f23backed Yes59c7,095$4,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.411844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes71c7,040$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.61369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No38c6,613$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.1913642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes15c6,327$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,377.673030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes13c6,149$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,350.0593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes51c5,962$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.6717962%111 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes26c5,590$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.212,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No21c5,325$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.93928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes22c5,261$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,104.894429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes33c5,242$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52214727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9444252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No15c4,873$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.6826530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes65c4,272$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.3118452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x362f…f6b9backed No40c4,232$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Yes63c4,163$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.1715857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes69c3,857$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.772638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes19c3,800$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0831040%4 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+252%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Yes17c3,521$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.437147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No13c3,338$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.976028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c6…2ce0backed Yes23c3,306$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+325.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x483f…4b98backed Yes20c3,301$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+110.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes13c3,213$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.5431347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe99d…11d8backed Yes15c3,192$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+299.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc21…2a47backed No80c3,098$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb14f…d825backed Yes67c2,983$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No44c2,875$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.5920536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes69c2,852$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.15352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10c2…0aa3backed Yes17c2,728$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+81.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No14c2,625$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e20…d6ddbacked Yes79c2,600$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Yes58c2,425$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.5722467.9%152 W · 72 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes38c2,415$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.412343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Yes17c2,412$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.7638152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed No21c2,405$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.071136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+67.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked Yes21c2,393$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.681225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb2…81b2backed Yes15c2,329$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes25c2,321$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.742638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Yes56c2,300$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.995558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x487b…eccbbacked Yes58c2,230$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…1dd0backed Yes18c2,190$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+173.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fca…7477backed Yes24c2,185$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.872520%5 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No75c2,183$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.6359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c3…7fb9backed Yes18c2,154$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+169.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2263…e208backed Yes15c2,141$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+202.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Yes66c2,111$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.1112851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked No2c2,111$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.893010%3 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0507445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48d…8d6fbacked Yes19c2,036$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+158.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Yes64c2,016$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.3510548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Yes77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038c…8aadbacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed No62c1,953$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.096639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd35…254cbacked Yes21c1,944$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+204.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes21c1,933$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.33560%3 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick17cpaid+400.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ff7…4070backed Yes20c1,921$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+154%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No3c1,900$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4969.4%9 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee5…a3bfbacked Yes20c1,871$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+88%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No29c1,842$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes76c1,842$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.081,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48aa…14febacked No2c1,834$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes37c1,800$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.9995848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccb…f289backed Yes16c1,780$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+87.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.