TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb64…5e23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
428
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT26530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 265 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$128.15
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.79
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+867.1%+$13,873.14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,956.28
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$13,569.25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,724
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+54%+$2,218.91
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,118
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$11,212.51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.68
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.92
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,722Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$596.63
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+1,247.1%+$1,175.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.27
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20,134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$6,101.12
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.7
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,481
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.41
Showing 25 of 265 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$182.47
Will Tommy Paul Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$44.15
Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$52.43
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31%+$1,547.8
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$3,772.25
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.72
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$812.13
Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.31
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.43
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.7
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$1,906.43
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.8
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$3,794.64
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$348
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,315
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$411.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.44
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.36
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.84
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$172.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+59.1%+$308.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$745.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$800
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$672
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$703
Will Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$205.9
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$103.29
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$59.33
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$58.37
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mark Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Dennis Buzukja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.09
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$76.35
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,689
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+34%+$91.43
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.72
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$563.04
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.69
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tai Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.21
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$35.98
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Colby Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78%+$78.04
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.34
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.53
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$223.42
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Steven Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.3
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luan Lacerda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.35
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$849.23
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.76
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.65
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$273
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.6
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.44
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+154%+$1,540.31
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$2,941.24
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$107.17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+59.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,905Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,270.08
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+669.5%+$1,740.1
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.17
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$428.39
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,080
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.9%+$53.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.49
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.07
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$388.77
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.09
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$273.28
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.35
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.06
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$32.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37.7%+$5,661.22
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$5,293.3
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+58.7%+$112.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,081.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.