TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,074,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,076,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,074,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c26,781$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8222723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c18,807$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.94504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes1c16,000$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146573.5%2 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-89.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fab…3cabbacked Yes1c14,992$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10924931.3%78 W · 171 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c10,462$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.691163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes1c10,448$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147330.1%22 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes1c9,372$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c9,166$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0744423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Yes1c7,769$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.671241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes1c7,500$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510157.4%58 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Yes1c7,435$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes1c6,805$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf72c…f818backed Yes1c6,599$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.192030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453c…ae42backed Yes1c6,143$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.721947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…2febbacked Yes2c4,844$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes1c4,838$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.271711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes1c4,650$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5627739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2b…6d08backed Yes1c4,622$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c4,546$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1510221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x871a…1af4backed Yes1c4,399$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920a…d51abacked Yes1c4,332$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes1c4,312$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.435427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e2…1fcdbacked Yes1c4,310$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2804…4290backed Yes1c4,216$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Yes1c4,167$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…978ebacked Yes1c4,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes1c3,902$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.975416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5a…6709backed Yes1c3,607$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe379…d124backed Yes1c3,201$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c7…07e7backed Yes2c2,950$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac2…9bafbacked Yes1c2,871$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes2c2,863$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058c…a02abacked Yes1c2,783$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344c…c49dbacked Yes1c2,743$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes1c2,700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.33234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-94.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7154…651cbacked Yes1c2,700$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff1…8a54backed Yes1c2,604$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8747…bfbebacked Yes1c2,546$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes1c2,532$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c9…bea4backed Yes1c2,475$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db2…dfcebacked Yes1c2,456$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf44c…2d84backed Yes1c2,415$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc473…401ebacked Yes1c2,335$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb6…449dbacked Yes1c2,335$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2369…8b76backed Yes1c2,318$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0893…8837backed Yes1c2,318$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…527abacked Yes1c2,294$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.861225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb0…94a9backed Yes1c2,283$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a36…57e2backed Yes1c2,214$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f8…4d45backed Yes1c2,214$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c75…91a8backed Yes1c2,206$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4095…d36ebacked Yes1c2,180$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd675…a380backed Yes1c2,135$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc491…2fb2backed Yes1c2,135$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes1c2,089$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes2c2,074$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.142814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,055$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.742,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac28…9d69backed Yes1c1,988$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fb…51d8backed Yes1c1,954$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17eb…8db2backed Yes1c1,923$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b86…93fcbacked Yes1c1,892$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98d…4c02backed Yes1c1,892$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Yes1c1,836$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8902…21ddbacked Yes1c1,823$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd23…cad2backed Yes1c1,818$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes1c1,763$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7340%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f42…2c90backed Yes2c1,756$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e03…7ff4backed Yes1c1,698$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa07…0f3bbacked Yes1c1,695$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yes1c1,670$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7142042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9f…43dbbacked Yes1c1,670$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…0a72backed Yes2c1,663$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe040…97e4backed Yes2c1,646$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc769…bd35backed Yes1c1,640$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…ddd4backed Yes1c1,631$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393e…415fbacked Yes2c1,616$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes1c1,583$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes1c1,552$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-88.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…a766backed Yes1c1,509$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9833…7844backed Yes3c1,503$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1081…8216backed Yes1c1,480$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9b…2081backed Yes1c1,468$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbb2…e80abacked Yes1c1,454$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes1c1,429$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…4103backed Yes1c1,429$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes2c1,386$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4711919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde00…3d54backed Yes1c1,372$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7a…53b9backed Yes2c1,364$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5122…47a6backed Yes1c1,324$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcb…8e5fbacked Yes1c1,321$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b51…a223backed Yes1c1,316$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa771…c281backed Yes2c1,287$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe992…494ebacked Yes1c1,273$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594a…480dbacked Yes1c1,273$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930b…faa6backed Yes1c1,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158043.8%35 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…f210backed Yes1c1,244$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b1…22c9backed Yes1c1,244$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d8…1c46backed Yes1c1,238$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ef…ef59backed Yes1c1,233$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019a…8806backed Yes1c1,228$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.