Tennis · resolved market

Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bf278c9375eeda69088ee6423cb34f9c12e5b33d4f06ad7e0e11b62a6925911

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $499,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,738 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	1c	34,322$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.25	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	25,568$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.01	116	3.4%4 W · 112 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	0c	24,814$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.15	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	1c	24,262$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes	2c	22,537$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.64	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	1c	21,199$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.1	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Yes	4c	19,278$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	335	51.9%174 W · 161 L	-15.3wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3674…2fc6backed Yes	1c	18,660$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.66	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+314.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	0c	17,523$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.23	50	4%2 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	14,514$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.63	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Yes	1c	12,160$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	2c	10,000$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.48	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes	0c	9,384$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	99	6.1%6 W · 93 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes	2c	7,482$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b67…525dbacked Yes	0c	6,776$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.52	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes	1c	6,570$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	106	22.6%24 W · 82 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	0c	6,332$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	444	23.9%106 W · 338 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	4c	5,762$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.32	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f4…a7c9backed Yes	1c	5,500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes	2c	5,399$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.79	474	53.2%252 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes	1c	5,153$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.92	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81c…33aebacked Yes	2c	5,012$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…75b2backed Yes	1c	4,519$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.08	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	1c	4,146$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.14	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	2c	4,131$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.64	76	18.4%14 W · 62 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	3,816$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.82	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	3,784$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.85	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes	2c	3,640$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.84	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Yes	0c	3,520$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	135	46.7%63 W · 72 L	+11.8wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49e9…3fedbacked Yes	1c	3,216$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…2b5dbacked Yes	1c	3,175$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes	3c	3,136$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.77	668	31.3%209 W · 459 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17eb…8db2backed Yes	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	3c	3,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,887$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.67	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes	0c	2,872$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-92.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385b…b81dbacked Yes	1c	2,827$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd18…0e39backed Yes	4c	2,641$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0879…2f3fbacked Yes	4c	2,544$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	101	57.4%58 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	1c	2,468$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+145.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes	1c	2,310$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	100	28%28 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa65a…397abacked Yes	1c	2,243$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	2c	2,239$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	1c	2,070$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-88.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-94.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca61…dc6abacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-69%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa04f…69ddbacked Yes	1c	1,943$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes	1c	1,928$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	50	36%18 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	1c	1,856$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90a…2cd0backed Yes	3c	1,800$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…42dcbacked Yes	1c	1,708$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	4c	1,686$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	1c	1,385$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca3…5044backed Yes	1c	1,364$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	1c	1,278$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e540backed Yes	4c	1,257$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.22per pick	36cpaid	+21%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	4c	1,251$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	32.4%33 W · 69 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd475…043ebacked Yes	2c	1,133$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039c…0450backed Yes	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes	2c	999.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	2c	888.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	2c	879.95$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	3c	855.43$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	254	33.5%85 W · 169 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecc…8422backed Yes	3c	743.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Yes	4c	711.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes	3c	700$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	486	37.7%183 W · 303 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34bb…f3e4backed Yes	3c	643.89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1081…8216backed Yes	3c	627$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	3cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	591.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes	2c	560.61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	123	35%43 W · 80 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes	2c	555$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes	3c	547.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c7…7f52backed Yes	2c	528.49$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes	4c	499.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	484.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	2,854	39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L	-83.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38b1…01e5backed Yes	3c	435.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	3c	406.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+87.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa143…5b6fbacked Yes	3c	387.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event