Tennis · resolved market
Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d44c5ddcc2d0457ec2b1acf3bac195d32d31e158305537c6b747776a63d479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes | 1c | 61,592$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.46 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 1c | 29,503$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…53c9backed Yes | 1c | 23,743$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,643$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked Yes | 1c | 7,400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 52 | 13.5%7 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Yes | 1c | 6,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,681$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 116 | 3.4%4 W · 112 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 0c | 4,275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…5a3fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,888$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…8869backed Yes | 1c | 3,858$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b7…b0b3backed Yes | 1c | 3,843$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e5…8d48backed Yes | 1c | 3,491$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,462$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc8cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,698$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…0dd2backed Yes | 1c | 2,662$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d1…4b63backed Yes | 1c | 2,552$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…a4c0backed Yes | 1c | 2,160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a6…3675backed Yes | 1c | 2,102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…47d4backed Yes | 1c | 2,102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…d532backed Yes | 1c | 1,728$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…e156backed Yes | 1c | 1,692$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…2c0dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,434$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,405$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…9f2bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,349$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…6533backed Yes | 1c | 1,349$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,341$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0eb…8dddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,333$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…1b2dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,333$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…bf04backed Yes | 1c | 1,331$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…cd58backed Yes | 1c | 1,331$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…6550backed Yes | 1c | 1,179$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…755bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…604fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,063$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…1591backed Yes | 1c | 987$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes won
- Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Marin Čilić be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Nicolás Jarry be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Tallon Griekspoor be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Tomáš Macháč be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.