TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,202,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,316,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,202,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,018 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No39c61,644$23,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,853.2916242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes80c45,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes61c36,713$22,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,180.025541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No34c29,551$9,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,907.732814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No20c28,115$5,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,748.29633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b0…23a1backed Yes79c25,164$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,164.173164.5%20 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes63c22,377$14,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,278.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes68c20,932$14,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,767.6560053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed Yes56c19,000$10,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,295.972218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-73.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Yes57c18,427$10,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,923.532133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes68c17,546$11,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,617.223745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes64c15,754$10,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,621.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Yes58c15,187$8,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,310.055954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No35c14,893$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,141.252321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes58c14,809$8,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,218.6293055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes80c14,778$11,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.453537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No41c11,986$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.81376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa108…abd3backed Yes65c11,934$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.29850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes57c11,650$6,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfff3…6486backed Yes66c11,616$7,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,961.621540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes60c11,613$6,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,668.5928451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes50c11,494$5,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.356,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No51c11,410$5,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,836.663441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes53c10,581$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,989.722723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes58c10,517$6,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,381.1517244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.962948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No41c10,000$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,068.761546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No35c9,813$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.361154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes61c9,772$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.255427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes68c9,377$6,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.2253043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed No43c9,294$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.735129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Yes57c9,242$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No39c9,212$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Yes66c9,091$6,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes58c8,390$4,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.291931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b7…dfc2backed Yes59c8,349$4,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.591560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Yes57c8,341$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked No43c8,221$3,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21af…f272backed Yes60c7,807$4,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.258353%44 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes63c7,574$4,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.591827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No24c7,410$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes60c7,318$4,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.5375748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf482…3446backed Yes60c7,107$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes61c7,015$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.522528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Yes51c7,000$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4402236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e0c…832dbacked Yes67c6,785$4,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes64c6,720$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…d782backed Yes61c6,503$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.3510853.7%58 W · 50 L+13.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes54c6,361$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.0452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes68c6,227$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.317945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Yes70c6,011$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.446869.1%47 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No18c6,007$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.091,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No37c5,978$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…a50bbacked No42c5,933$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9612…4b27backed Yes56c5,923$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.391855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes59c5,808$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.699962.6%62 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be9…47e1backed No49c5,652$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No39c5,389$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.094434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89f…9475backed Yes57c5,328$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed Yes58c5,172$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.412339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No43c5,090$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.6324643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0e…077dbacked Yes59c5,030$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed No43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1502556%14 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d9…7fc2backed Yes79c4,858$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Yes59c4,409$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.7958359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes56c4,252$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.888226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No34c4,146$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.422050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8597…daeebacked Yes75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Yes59c3,983$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.8511859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Yes65c3,900$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Yes56c3,859$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.252268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No38c3,859$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.292147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked No19c3,801$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.2513025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Yes57c3,733$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.674050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd773…6ab2backed Yes59c3,644$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c01…d612backed Yes57c3,587$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.07785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.771650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No20c3,480$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.393441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked No37c3,410$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.746033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No33c3,379$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No34c3,283$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.845639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7083…53ecbacked Yes71c3,089$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.091258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2667…74cfbacked Yes59c3,067$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.03825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e3…2846backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No35c2,989$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes67c2,986$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes49c2,934$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.441163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed No41c2,913$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.4415657.1%89 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes55c2,900$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.985339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No24c2,899$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.224658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No42c2,894$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.4621743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes63c2,885$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.5833650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No40c2,834$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked No36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…53f7backed Yes58c2,731$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.082065%13 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes80c2,711$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.118,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes60c2,711$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.3113050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed Yes65c2,592$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No37c2,572$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.0325433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.