TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5f9…a28c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: James McCabe vs Dusan Lajovicbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Warsaw: Laura Samson vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$574.09
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.5
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.98
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaricbacked Lucija Bagaric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.05
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Ealabacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.9
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$1,465.64
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)backed Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$533.85
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Hewitt (+1.5)backed Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+225.8%+$1,014.38
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$953.43
Vukic vs. Svajda: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.98
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Choinski vs. Passaro: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$468.58
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,351.85
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,035.71
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+614.6%+$1,381.26
Zug: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.77
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.14
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Tagger (+1.5)backed Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$979.05
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elgin Khoeblal vs Branko Djuricbacked Branko Djuric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+233.1%+$310.28
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.92
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,602.6
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,650
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.1
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$3,128.42
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$912.66
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$641.01
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.64
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$196.36
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.66
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$503.66
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$323.07
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$330.46
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$323.07
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$203
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+188.2%+$471.92
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$500.91
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$499.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$413.31
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$423.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$905
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.