TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,956 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over47c1,610$755 inLost-$755.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under54c400$216 inWon+$18414853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c364.44$197 inWon+$167.522,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under54c277.77$150 inWon+$127.773759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over46c277.77$128 inLost-$127.776055%33 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c240$125 inWon+$115.21,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c240$125 inWon+$115.21,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c234.81$124 inWon+$110.51,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under52c100$52 inWon+$4827246.3%126 W · 146 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under52c36.58$19 inWon+$17.562744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.