Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cadf06cd0371c0e5943b1a6398820f106a63f55e708b8fc5bbd7954ccf73b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 6,705$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 38c | 3,194$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.65 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 2,118$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 39c | 1,493$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.69 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 38c | 1,283$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.62 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 62c | 1,003$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 80c | 623$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 62c | 541.22$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.75 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 63c | 449.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 11c | 404.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 36c | 276.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 63c | 238.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 37c | 205.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 189.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 60c | 128.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 62c | 106.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 70.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 62c | 53.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 63c | 38.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 60c | 29.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…e747backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…84ccbacked Under | 63c | 24.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…7d35backed Under | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.