Other European Leagues · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x908ffd59b9111b70aedc1f0e48812f68739c87241109525e3316259720c5492a

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,229 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under	43c	4,525$1,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,587.06	920	43.4%399 W · 521 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	29c	4,511$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,309.7	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	44c	1,527$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.46	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.34per pick	50cpaid	+74.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under	60c	995.26$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.41	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Over	61c	978.27$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	30c	960.29$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.68	100	31%31 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	28c	956.64$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.37	877	45.2%396 W · 481 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over	37c	947.81$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.69	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-56%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	59c	847.25$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.84	1,107	47.7%528 W · 579 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	58c	847$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.23	1,467	48%704 W · 763 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	58c	847$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.29	1,711	48.3%827 W · 884 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	75c	744.78$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.79	1,240	39.2%486 W · 754 L	-35.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over	49c	586.4$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.41	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	66c	565.82$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.2	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	57c	500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under	40c	483.98$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.72	233	46.8%109 W · 124 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	24c	443.26$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.22	715	33.8%242 W · 473 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over	58c	344.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	59c	339.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.4	87	58.6%51 W · 36 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	11c	327.97$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.32	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over	61c	312.25$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.47	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	57c	280.08$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.46	2,640	35.7%942 W · 1,698 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under	67c	223.88$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.88	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-9.2wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	33c	223.88$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.88	2,309	42.8%988 W · 1,321 L	-41.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Under	41c	220.7$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.01	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	59c	220.7$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.21	148	53.4%79 W · 69 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	38c	204.75$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.85	2,001	36.5%730 W · 1,271 L	-25.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	42c	194$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.52	911	48%437 W · 474 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	41c	184.99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.22	398	52.5%209 W · 189 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	182	48.4%88 W · 94 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under	42c	161.9$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.9	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	44c	152.69$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.59	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	59cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ba8…f50bbacked Under	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	61c	130.6$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.89	734	40.1%294 W · 440 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	42c	119.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.97	280	49.6%139 W · 141 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	58c	116.41$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.52	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	41c	112.23$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.78	118	41.5%49 W · 69 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	40c	111.33$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.8	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	43c	107.38$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	218	54.1%118 W · 100 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over	59c	102.3$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	272	46.3%126 W · 146 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8720…ea73backed Over	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Over	13c	85.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	220	62.3%137 W · 83 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	59c	81.71$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.21	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	21c	74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	892	58.2%519 W · 373 L	+58.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Over	59c	67.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	42c	67.14$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.74	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	143	39.2%56 W · 87 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under	42c	64$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.12	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	58c	60.01$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.81	260	51.5%134 W · 126 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Over	48c	59.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f2…1cc8backed Over	56c	55.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.25	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over	49c	52.06$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b3…384fbacked Under	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+119.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Under	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	269	49.8%134 W · 135 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	60c	47.55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.53	460	44.3%204 W · 256 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf548…63a4backed Under	53c	46.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over	58c	42.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	59c	42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.57	536	55.2%296 W · 240 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over	59c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under	48c	34.5$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.78	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	61cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd60…c454backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	58c	34.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Under	41c	34.15$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.15	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	60c	32.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	1,434	37.7%540 W · 894 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	52c	32.33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	273	60.8%166 W · 107 L	+13.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd62…344abacked Under	53c	32.24$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.24	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+70%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Over	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Over	58c	29.17$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	38cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	60c	25.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	258	59.7%154 W · 104 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over	58c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.31per pick	61cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under	41c	24.4$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+6.3wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under	52c	23.07$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.07	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under	45c	22.81$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.55	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8145…1bd2backed Over	60c	18.3$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Under	77c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.22	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5this page
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 0.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event