Other European Leagues · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6077bcef9b2ff585c6072c7c516644c00f385d6c814afd1e901c076f389d007d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,415 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under	58c	7,563$4,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,150.72	2,001	36.5%730 W · 1,271 L	-25.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	30c	5,565$1,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.15	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	3,432$1,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,589.13	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	79c	2,725$2,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.23	125	46.4%58 W · 67 L	+9.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over	50c	2,518$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.07	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Under	41c	2,429$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.26	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	53c	2,122$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.1	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over	34c	1,701$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.43	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-56%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	60c	1,444$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.53	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over	53c	1,407$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.63	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Over	78c	1,282$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	36c	1,110$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.43	877	45.2%396 W · 481 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	79c	1,100$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.98	148	53.4%79 W · 69 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over	54c	900$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489	175	29.1%51 W · 124 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	54c	784.1$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.02	2,640	35.7%942 W · 1,698 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under	21c	706.9$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.74	233	46.8%109 W · 124 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	78c	641$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	1,711	48.3%827 W · 884 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over	79c	632.91$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	67cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	50c	545.88$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.24	2,309	42.8%988 W · 1,321 L	-41.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	35c	536.97$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.26	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8720…ea73backed Over	77c	494.01$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under	35c	400$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over	68c	399.99$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.99	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6da…5ccfbacked Over	66c	395.12$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.78	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	65c	379.08$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	58cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…c873backed Under	36c	347.22$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.22	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Over	43c	338.76$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.59	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	66c	300$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	66	60.6%40 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	71c	240.96$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.88	133	32.3%43 W · 90 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	64c	218.79$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.98	911	48%437 W · 474 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	30c	209$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.23	715	33.8%242 W · 473 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f9…b000backed Over	62c	203.23$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	79c	189.87$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	54c	181.48$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	55c	173.62$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.3	1,240	39.2%486 W · 754 L	-35.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	44c	173$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.88	2,012	35.5%714 W · 1,298 L	-27.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	76c	171.76$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	220	62.3%137 W · 83 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	50c	155.41$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over	65c	155$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.75	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	-9.5wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under	35c	149.55$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.93	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	327	39.4%129 W · 198 L	-22.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc15a…5bd2backed Over	58c	120$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.6	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	21c	119.62$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	280	49.6%139 W · 141 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	79c	108.48$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.7	734	40.1%294 W · 440 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	79c	108.3$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.64	1,434	37.7%540 W · 894 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x787b…f0a6backed Under	45c	108.18$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	232	56.9%132 W · 100 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Over	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	21c	84.25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.78	398	52.5%209 W · 189 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under	80c	83.45$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.69	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+31%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over	43c	80$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.6wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under	64c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.32	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Under	79c	76.25$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	75cpaid	-58%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7af2…8483backed Over	80c	75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f14…b567backed Under	67c	74.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	69cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over	78c	64.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under	22c	63.76$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.86	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-10.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	77c	62.01$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over	57c	61.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd922…15f9backed Over	57c	59.84$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Over	79c	56.96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Over	76c	53.36$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.45per pick	78cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over	45c	51.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	118	41.5%49 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Over	24c	50.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.11	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	44c	43.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	892	58.2%519 W · 373 L	+58.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under	25c	40.51$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.38	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	30c	36.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	61	4.9%3 W · 58 L	-17.3wins	-0.28per pick	33cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	28-0.20 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Over	78c	29.59$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7159…c63ebacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over	50c	28.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	36c	27.78$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.78	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over	68c	26.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-6.6wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Over	79c	25.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over	79c	25.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Over	79c	24.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	52	67.3%35 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Over	60c	22.73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	78c	21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	536	55.2%296 W · 240 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	78c	19.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	260	51.5%134 W · 126 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over	78c	19.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Over	79c	18.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdba9…2995backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5this page
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 0.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event