TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,393 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over12c4,757$558 inLost-$558.012,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Under77c1,300$1,001 inWon+$2999856.1%55 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under79c700$553 inWon+$14714853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c523.76$20 inLost-$19.765,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over22c300$66 inLost-$665133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under79c189.83$150 inWon+$39.863759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under80c179.04$143 inWon+$35.811,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over23c140$32 inLost-$31.8411841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cca…7e3abacked Under79c127.89$101 inWon+$26.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over22c113.95$25 inLost-$24.69045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over21c100$21 inLost-$216050%30 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under79c96$76 inWon+$19.92,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c90.18$20 inLost-$20.471,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over23c65.22$15 inLost-$156432.8%21 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Over20c50$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under80c37.5$30 inWon+$7.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick76cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…de7fbacked Under78c25.51$20 inWon+$5.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Under79c25.16$20 inWon+$5.163571.4%25 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under80c25$20 inWon+$56262.9%39 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under79c20$16 inWon+$4.251275%9 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.