TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x168c…f24bbacked Under74c1,359$1,000 inWon+$358.974062.5%25 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over27c1,311$353 inLost-$352.722,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under79c975.67$771 inWon+$204.8913332.3%43 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c799.3$188 inLost-$187.77,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under44c450.36$198 inWon+$252.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+74.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under43c390.86$169 inWon+$221.814853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over57c350.88$200 inLost-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under45c333.33$150 inWon+$183.333759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over55c333.33$183 inLost-$183.336055%33 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under44c298.69$131 inWon+$167.273650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over56c273.04$153 inLost-$152.946044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c185$34 inLost-$34.1187745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Over56c178$100 inLost-$99.682669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over56c173.48$97 inLost-$97.151040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Over9c114.97$10 inLost-$10.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c94.41$40 inWon+$54.761,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost-$5022062.3%137 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over57c57.91$33 inLost-$33.012,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under43c57.91$25 inWon+$33.013852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c56.85$43 inWon+$13.645,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over55c50.91$28 inLost-$282850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd922…15f9backed Over38c50$19 inLost-$19616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7376…7767backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost-$251225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c23.13$13 inLost-$12.951,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.