TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,469 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c944.2$395 inWon+$549.447,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over65c509.94$332 inLost-$331.7314853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over65c230.76$150 inLost-$149.993759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c220.54$96 inWon+$124.322,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153c…bf6abacked Over65c199.99$130 inLost-$129.99825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c199.98$96 inLost-$95.9987745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Over54c197.28$107 inLost-$106.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under35c194.24$68 inWon+$126.269135.2%32 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over54c177.78$96 inLost-$962128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x67b7…5918backed Over33c151.49$50 inLost-$49.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over68c147.28$100 inLost-$10018248.4%88 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under38c100.17$38 inWon+$62.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over66c96.94$64 inLost-$63.9827246.3%126 W · 146 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdef1…e893backed Under35c68.29$24 inWon+$44.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+103.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under39c68.15$27 inWon+$41.5727360.8%166 W · 107 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over62c68.06$42 inLost-$42.21,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c44.39$21 inWon+$23.0846044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over48c39.58$19 inLost-$192850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under40c30$12 inWon+$182334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+183.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over69c17.39$12 inLost-$126266.1%41 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.