TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8077…ffef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 70 out of 100 (+0.18 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 70 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$2,844.46
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,628.13
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.8
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.69
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.83
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.16
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$58.7
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.1
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$50.71
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$51.2
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$705.26
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$65.87
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.13
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$896.1
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$3,542.26
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.92
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+259.2%+$4,911.5
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.06
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.51
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.11
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.29
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.45
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Spread: France (-4.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.08
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+8.0wins+0.42per pick37cpaid+163.8%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
WNBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$268.23
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$67.08
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.3
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$50.49
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$134.44
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.8
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$486.08
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$46.47
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$321.8
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$284.81
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$301.19
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$113.63
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,617.91
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+228.8%+$177.45
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$743.93
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$714.73
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+264.3%+$406.53
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.