Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x011c21f7133a02e5f2240c7777c573d295ea5c02b1d2f82d1e3bfb0234e5048d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 1c | 3,622$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Yes | 1c | 1,501$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 70c | 1,437$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.18 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked No | 30c | 1,377$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 43c | 819$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.83 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 651.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.24 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 36c | 248.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 205.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 26c | 168$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 140.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 93.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…8ac2backed Yes | 52c | 87.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 81.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 49c | 72.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 60.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 60.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 66c | 50.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 32.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 51c | 27.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 66c | 26.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 65c | 26.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Linfield FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Linfield FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Nõmme Kalju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Linfield FC (-1.5)Nõmme Kalju FC won
- Spread: Nõmme Kalju FC (-1.5)Linfield FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.