Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f8cec1a33723f34f9ed87b0ae8fac41eafaf1d8a74adea07250fa111f834c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a2c…100cbacked Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Over | 1c | 2,965$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Over | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 36c | 2,454$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Over | 1c | 1,571$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 50c | 1,128$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.18 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 50c | 989.1$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 854.57$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.78 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 63c | 747.21$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.37 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 737.5$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.49 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 623.72$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 66c | 549.82$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.88 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 68c | 411.06$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 48c | 279.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 29c | 278.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Under | 65c | 275.65$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 210.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 206.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 21c | 179.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked Under | 12c | 175.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 69c | 142.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 56c | 138$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 115$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 49c | 104.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 70c | 66.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 72c | 55.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 52c | 49.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 39c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 37c | 30.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Linfield FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Linfield FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: Nõmme Kalju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Linfield FC (-1.5)Nõmme Kalju FC won
- Spread: Nõmme Kalju FC (-1.5)Linfield FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.