TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,899.971,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c28,046$14,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,857.8564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c22,068$10,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,455.6310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c12,474$5,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,61114842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c9,594$4,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,089.7555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over53c8,664$4,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5921942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c6,968$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.9452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over53c4,076$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.2818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over53c3,150$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c2,573$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c2,010$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9820247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under39c1,914$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.8718941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over53c1,900$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0071861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over42c1,601$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.545940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over53c1,575$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8352857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over56c1,366$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c1,207$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over44c1,016$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.2815844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under47c1,013$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.6514148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c951.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.361,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c936.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c860.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c839.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1925954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Under14c730.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.453043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over77c647.79$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over54c557.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c555.42$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c554.19$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over53c545$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.854047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a6…dc57backed Over53c509.43$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under48c492.42$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over60c453.76$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over53c428.32$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.381,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9835…f8fdbacked Over71c427.21$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c422$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.571,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c400.56$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.31,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+65.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Under48c384.61$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+60.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under47c372.36$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over53c354.11$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6860%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under47c347.21$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over53c302.25$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1915759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4a…f951backed Over60c265.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over53c250.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13314049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Over21c229.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.156141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c225$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under28c205$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4319548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10618653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dff…1f35backed Under66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681850%9 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+96.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under32c184.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1717237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Over53c171$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.632272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over53c169.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over50c167$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.527450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over12c164$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.689956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over57c158.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8225554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over53c143.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2120650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Under48c128.75$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9537848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Over53c124.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.223256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under48c123.13$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.031283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under48c122.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.926344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Over53c121$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.133256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over53c115$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9514649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef9…9b3dbacked Over53c114$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over53c114$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4211050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under32c107.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Under13c106$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5233246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5225559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed3…95d7backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c93.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.621,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Over53c89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.175759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1096…c209backed Over53c84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under47c83.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2635551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under48c83.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.317360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over53c83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.995756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under46c81.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.