NBA · resolved market
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ccf6a06cec30cd2aaca1a485314b4ed577655eab848dfed5f48cea0dcc0a580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 51c | 9,793$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.51 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 51c | 4,472$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.35 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 45c | 2,810$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.4 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 2,554$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.98 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 50c | 1,748$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.08 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 50c | 1,588$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.86 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 50c | 1,501$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.57 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 45c | 1,014$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 50c | 980$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.8 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 52c | 966.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Yes | 50c | 867.36$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed No | 55c | 839.2$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 50c | 599.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.1 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 47c | 482.37$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.48 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…0760backed Yes | 52c | 469.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 53c | 457.74$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed No | 49c | 408.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 48c | 269.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 214.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…388bbacked No | 55c | 201.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…d260backed Yes | 50c | 197.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed No | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed No | 51c | 165.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…faa6backed No | 54c | 135.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Yes | 46c | 135.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Yes | 57c | 104$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 52c | 101.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Yes | 49c | 64.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Yes | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…bb53backed Yes | 49c | 50.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…cd44backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…7e5cbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…3676backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 49c | 30.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed No | 49c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.