TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,190 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed No45c5,930$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.3649244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No43c1,038$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2214842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes55c996.01$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.934560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No48c901.88$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.822166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked No46c499.94$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9715744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e3…9d50backed Yes55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.55560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes50c380.84$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5933049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes53c365.16$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.636352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c0…51ffbacked Yes55c364.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.131145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Yes56c359.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.14850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes43c184.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No44c161.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.182440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Yes57c158.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.392138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed No55c155.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.213133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.286025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9437352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aeb…2b0bbacked No48c104.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3698…7160backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b3…fec6backed Yes55c85.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3615351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff8…ff51backed Yes54c75.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d8…7ba2backed Yes54c74.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7310351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e44…9d02backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733850%19 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c70.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes52c69.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4522453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x28b3…08e3backed No47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Yes58c55.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4212248.4%59 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.510954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Yes54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.310855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b14…8d4bbacked Yes54c45.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.456259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284a…8759backed Yes54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed Yes54c40.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.741560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3611450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.368100%8 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31bc…cccabacked No47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+109.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes55c30.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.917153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68f…6fdfbacked No36c30.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114936.7%18 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77cb…9c2abacked No44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda26…3b2fbacked Yes52c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Yes55c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.519952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed No47c27.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45dc…9179backed Yes59c25.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes44c22.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8727539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9e…5347backed Yes54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.221637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x123d…1cabbacked No50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…5397backed Yes53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Yes58c18.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7215663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.