TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks48c27,583$13,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,294.3210944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs55c12,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.9928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs49c10,241$5,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,067.230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs48c7,888$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,786.2414538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs29c7,633$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.582,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks45c6,788$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7281,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs62c5,440$3,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,373.411,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks50c4,262$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Spurs51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs38c2,990$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs52c2,972$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.586141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks74c2,837$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.0564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs45c2,774$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.3918941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks52c2,599$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.2893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs31c2,247$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.361,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs57c2,119$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.111,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks31c2,053$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks53c1,542$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs13c1,199$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8616633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks39c1,005$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.252,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Spurs48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks54c987.1$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.4252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks52c926.92$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9218557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Knicks55c874.62$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.566038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs50c826.15$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.0355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs13c811.47$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs49c767.55$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks45c663.81$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs50c624$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31262948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bbb…70a8backed Spurs15c613.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs50c554.42$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5512055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs13c420$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs50c403.91$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.512532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Spurs63c374.09$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.682254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs44c359.68$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks50c249.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs33c240.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks52c206$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs20c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks40c199.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.947360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks57c186.12$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Spurs48c164$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.731421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Knicks51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5823445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Spurs35c133.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Knicks27c124.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.843046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks35c117.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs24c112.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks43c110.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.132,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs79c106.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2825045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks48c106.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Spurs21c105.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2318444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks79c105.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Spurs50c104.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs36c102.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1925554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Spurs50c102.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Knicks57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4314551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7094…19e1backed Knicks51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks50c91.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed Spurs55c85.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Spurs51c84.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.131833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs62c80.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks52c79.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.541,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs53c78.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.412150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Knicks53c74.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.817154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Spurs50c70.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.222152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks51c64.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Spurs48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks38c60.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Spurs50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs60c55.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.343333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Spurs50c51.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.811827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Spurs72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.134156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-19.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Knicks54c45.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.869061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Spurs48c42.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.232748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs49c41.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5710152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs58c40.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4237652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Knicks49c40.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.510061%61 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Knicks45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Spurs50c39.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs33c38.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4425944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks75c33.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4225150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Knicks53c33.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-57%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks41c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4719548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs38c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0a0…e8fcbacked Knicks40c29.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.424100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs51c29.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Spurs70c28.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Spurs57c25.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.475839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Spurs49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.220443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Spurs48c22.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa54d…7695backed Spurs58c21.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Knicks57c20.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.